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The Structural Stability of a One-Day Risk Premium in View of the Recent Financial Crisis

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  • Krzysztof DRACHAL

    (Warsaw University of Technology)

Abstract

The aim of this research is to analyze a short-term risk premium in Poland between 2005 and 2015. In particular one-day periods are considered. It is studies whether the same GARCH type model can be applied for the whole period, or whether the estimated parameters differ significantly for selected sub-periods.

Suggested Citation

  • Krzysztof DRACHAL, 2015. "The Structural Stability of a One-Day Risk Premium in View of the Recent Financial Crisis," Expert Journal of Economics, Sprint Investify, vol. 3(2), pages 136-142.
    • Handle: RePEc:exp:econcs:v:3:y:2015:i:2:p:136-142
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Chen, Nai-Fu & Grundy, Bruce & Stambaugh, Robert F, 1990. "Changing Risk, Changing Risk Premiums, and Dividend Yield Effects," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 63(1), pages 51-70, January.
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    6. Matei, Marius, 2009. "Assessing Volatility Forecasting Models: Why GARCH Models Take the Lead," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 42-65, December.
    7. Allan G. Timmermann, 1993. "How Learning in Financial Markets Generates Excess Volatility and Predictability in Stock Prices," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 108(4), pages 1135-1145.
    8. Engle, Robert F & Ng, Victor K, 1993. "Measuring and Testing the Impact of News on Volatility," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(5), pages 1749-1778, December.
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    12. Waszczuk, Antonina, 2013. "A risk-based explanation of return patterns—Evidence from the Polish stock market," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 186-210.
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    Cited by:

    1. Tomas Heryan & Jan Ziegelbauer, 2016. "Volatility Of Yields Of Government Bonds Among Giips Countries During The Sovereign Debt Crisis In The Euro Area," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 11(1), pages 61-74, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    financial crisis; GARCH; risk premium; structural stability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

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