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Regional Input-Output Matrices and an Application to Analyze a Manufacturing Export Shock in Mexico. (Matrices insumo producto regionales y una aplicación para analizar impactos de las exportaciones manufactureras en México)

Author

Listed:
  • Jorge Alvarado

    (Banco de México.)

  • Miroslava Quiroga

    (Banco de México.)

  • Leonardo Torre

    (Banco de México.)

  • Daniel Chiquiar

    (Banco de México.)

Abstract

Based on the national Input-Output Matrix (IOM) 2012 calculated by INEGI, we estimate with the Flegg approach four regional Input-Output Matrices (RIOMs) using Banco de México’s regionalization (Northern, North-Central, Central and Southern). These RIOMs are employed to evaluate the impact on regional gross output, value added and employment from a 10,000 million dollar shock on Mexican manufacturing exports. The results show that the effects on the absolute values of gross output, value added and employment in the North are clearly larger than those estimated for the other regions. Another finding is that the total effects of the regional shocks tend to concentrate in the manufacturing sector, with the highest concentration observed in the North, and the lowest in the South. It is also shown that the North is, by far, the region experiencing the greatest change in its value added relative to GDP, followed by the North Central, the Central and the South. The results suggest a strong linkage between the manufacturing sector and tertiary activities, particularly commerce and services in the central regions, as well as between manufacturing and oil and gas extraction in the South.

Suggested Citation

  • Jorge Alvarado & Miroslava Quiroga & Leonardo Torre & Daniel Chiquiar, 2019. "Regional Input-Output Matrices and an Application to Analyze a Manufacturing Export Shock in Mexico. (Matrices insumo producto regionales y una aplicación para analizar impactos de las exportaciones m," Ensayos Revista de Economia, Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon, Facultad de Economia, vol. 0(2), pages 227-258, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:ere:journl:v:xxxviii:y:2019:i:2:p:227-258
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Andrew T. Foerster & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte & Mark W. Watson, 2011. "Sectoral versus Aggregate Shocks: A Structural Factor Analysis of Industrial Production," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 119(1), pages 1-38.
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    3. Chiquiar, Daniel, 2005. "Why Mexico's regional income convergence broke down," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(1), pages 257-275, June.
    4. Anthony T. Flegg & Timo Tohmo, 2013. "Regional Input--Output Tables and the FLQ Formula: A Case Study of Finland," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(5), pages 703-721, May.
    5. Andrea Bonfiglio & Francesco Chelli, 2008. "Assessing the Behaviour of Non-Survey Methods for Constructing Regional Input-Output Tables through a Monte Carlo Simulation," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(3), pages 243-258.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Input-Output Model; Regional Analysis; Multiplier Effects; Exports;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O14 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • R15 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Econometric and Input-Output Models; Other Methods

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