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Fuentes de las fluctuaciones macroeconómicas en Puerto Rico\Sources of macroeconomic fluctuations in Puerto Rico

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  • Carlos A. Rodríguez

    (Universidad de Puerto Rico)

Abstract

In this paper we investigate the macroeconomic factors that give rise to economic fluctuations in Puerto Rico. Using a combination of impulse response functions and variance decompositions, it is shown that the trajectory of unemployment is affected, in both the short run and the long run, by local supply and by the demand generated by the Federal Reserve through its intermediate instrument of monetary policy. In contrast, inflation is mainly affected in both the short run and long run by changes in local and external demand.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlos A. Rodríguez, 2018. "Fuentes de las fluctuaciones macroeconómicas en Puerto Rico\Sources of macroeconomic fluctuations in Puerto Rico," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 33(2), pages 219-252.
    • Handle: RePEc:emx:esteco:v:33:y:2018:i:2:p:219-252
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    File URL: https://estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx/index.php/economicos/article/view/358/361
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    economic fluctuations; external shocks; business cycles; VAR models; macrodynamics;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • C54 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Quantitative Policy Modeling
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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