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Assessing Sector-wide Programs with Statistical Impact Evaluation: A Methodological Proposal

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  • Elbers, Chris
  • Gunning, Jan Willem
  • de Hoop, Kobus

Abstract

Summary Donor agencies, and recipient governments want to assess the effectiveness of aid-supported sector policies. Unfortunately, existing methods for impact evaluation are designed for the evaluation of homogeneous interventions ("projects") where those with, and without "treatment" can be compared. The lack of a methodology for evaluations of sector-wide programs is a serious constraint in the debate on aid effectiveness. We propose a method of statistical impact evaluation in situations with heterogeneous interventions, an extension of the double differencing method often used in project evaluations. We illustrate its feasibility with an example from the education sector in Zambia.

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  • Elbers, Chris & Gunning, Jan Willem & de Hoop, Kobus, 2009. "Assessing Sector-wide Programs with Statistical Impact Evaluation: A Methodological Proposal," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 513-520, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:wdevel:v:37:y:2009:i:2:p:513-520
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    Cited by:

    1. Chris Elbers & Jan Willem Gunning, 2012. "Evaluation of Development Programs: Using Regressions to assess the Impact of Complex Interventions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-081/2, Tinbergen Institute.
    2. Chris Elbers & Jan Willem Gunning, 2014. "Evaluation of Development Programs: Randomized Controlled Trials or Regressions?," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 28(3), pages 432-445.
    3. Azevedo, I. & Leal, V., 2021. "A new model for ex-post quantification of the effects of local actions for climate change mitigation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    4. Kaisa Alavuotunki, 2015. "General budget support, health expenditures, and neonatal mortality rate: A synthetic control approach," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2015-108, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    5. Karl Pauw & James Thurlow, 2015. "Prioritizing Rural Investments in Africa: A Hybrid Evaluation Approach Applied to Uganda," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 27(3), pages 407-424, July.
    6. Benfica, Rui & Cunguara, Benedito & Thurlow, James, 2017. "Distributional Effects of Public Investments in Mozambique," Conference papers 332860, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    7. Bishop, Sylvia & Shepherd, Andrew, 2013. "Aid and Poverty: Why Does Aid Not Address Poverty (Much)?," WIDER Working Paper Series 020, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    8. Andrew Shepherd & Sylvia Bishop, 2013. "Aid and Poverty: Why Does Aid Not Address Poverty (Much)?," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2013-020, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    9. Karl Pauw & James Thurlow, 2015. "Prioritizing Rural Investments in Africa: A Hybrid Evaluation Approach Applied to Uganda," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 27(3), pages 407-424, July.
    10. Kaisa Alavuotunki, 2015. "General budget support, health expenditures, and neonatal mortality rate," WIDER Working Paper Series 108, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    11. Chris Elbers & Jan Willem Gunning, 2009. "Evaluation of Development Policy: Treatment versus Program Effects," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 09-073/2, Tinbergen Institute.
    12. Smith, Lisa C. & Khan, Faheem & Frankenberger, Timothy R. & Wadud, A.K.M. Abdul, 2013. "Admissible Evidence in the Court of Development Evaluation? The Impact of CARE’s SHOUHARDO Project on Child Stunting in Bangladesh," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 196-216.
    13. Benfica, Rui & Cunguara, Benedito & Thurlow, James, 2019. "Linking agricultural investments to growth and poverty: An economywide approach applied to Mozambique," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 91-100.

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