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An analysis of per mile pollution fees for motor vehicles in California's south coast

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  • Kavalec, Chris
  • Setiawan, Winardi

Abstract

This paper examines the effect of pollution fees based on per mile emissions of reactive organic gases and oxides of nitrogen on tons of pollutants emitted, driving, fuel use and efficiency, new vehicle sales, and welfare in the South Coast region of California. The results suggest that VMT and gasoline demand would be reduced (although at a declining rate) while mpg would improve as households shifted to newer vehicles. Sales of new vehicles are projected to initially rise, then drop below base forecast levels as turnover of vehicles is reduced. Finally, the projected effects on household consumer surplus suggest that pollution fees may be regressive (although less so as households adjust their vehicle holdings), as a significant portion of older, higher polluting vehicles are owned by lower income households. The paper also compares pollution fees with voluntary accelerated vehicle retirement programs.

Suggested Citation

  • Kavalec, Chris & Setiawan, Winardi, 1997. "An analysis of per mile pollution fees for motor vehicles in California's south coast," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 4(4), pages 267-273, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:trapol:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:267-273
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Walls, Margaret & Hanson, Jean, 1996. "Distributional Impacts of an Environmental Tax Shift: The Case of Motor Vehicle Emissions Taxes," Discussion Papers 10895, Resources for the Future.
    2. Kavalec, Chris & Setiawan, Winardi, 1997. "An analysis of accelerated vehicle retirement programs using a discrete choice personal vehicle model," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 95-107, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Carlton, Justin & Burris, Mark, 2014. "Comprehensive Equity Analysis of Mileage-Based User Fees: Taxation and Expenditures for Roadways and Transit," Journal of the Transportation Research Forum, Transportation Research Forum, vol. 53(2).
    2. Yang, Di & Kastrouni, Eirini & Zhang, Lei, 2016. "Equitable and progressive distance-based user charges design and evaluation of income-based mileage fees in Maryland," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 169-177.
    3. Starr McMullen, B. & Zhang, Lei & Nakahara, Kyle, 2010. "Distributional impacts of changing from a gasoline tax to a vehicle-mile tax for light vehicles: A case study of Oregon," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 17(6), pages 359-366, November.
    4. Kavalec, Chris & Woods, James, 1999. "Toward marginal cost pricing of accident risk: the energy, travel, and welfare impacts of pay-at-the-pump auto insurance," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 27(6), pages 331-342, June.
    5. Turan, Fikret Korhan, 2024. "A theoretical stakeholder model of automotive industry and policy implications for sustainable transport after Dieselgate," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 192-205.

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