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Dynamic cost functions and freight transport modal split evolution

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  • Ferrari, Paolo

Abstract

The paper studies the characteristics of the evolution over time of modal split for a transport system in which various modes compete with each other and face the freight flow increase in different ways. It is shown that the modal split evolution is constituted by a sequence of time periods, in each of which the dynamic characteristics of the system are different. An equilibrium, stable or unstable, is reached after a transition phase, whose length depends on the characteristics of the system, and in some cases exceeds the length of the period, so that an equilibrium is not reached.

Suggested Citation

  • Ferrari, Paolo, 2015. "Dynamic cost functions and freight transport modal split evolution," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 115-134.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:transe:v:77:y:2015:i:c:p:115-134
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2015.02.016
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. O. Norojono & W. Young, 2003. "A Stated preference freight mode choice model," Transportation Planning and Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2), pages 1-1, April.
    2. Ferrari, Paolo, 2014. "The dynamics of modal split for freight transport," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 163-176.
    3. Masiero, Lorenzo & Rose, John M., 2013. "The role of the reference alternative in the specification of asymmetric discrete choice models," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 83-92.
    4. de Jong, Gerard & Ben-Akiva, Moshe, 2007. "A micro-simulation model of shipment size and transport chain choice," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 41(9), pages 950-965, November.
    5. Dalla Chiara, Bruno & Deflorio, Francesco Paolo & Spione, Domenico, 2008. "The rolling road between the Italian and French Alps: modeling the modal split," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 44(6), pages 1162-1174, November.
    6. Abdelwahab, Walid M., 1998. "Elasticities of mode choice probabilities and market elasticities of demand: Evidence from a simultaneous mode choice/shipment-size freight transport model," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 257-266, December.
    7. Friedlaender, Ann F & Spady, Richard H, 1980. "A Derived Demand Function for Freight Transportation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 62(3), pages 432-441, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Yang, Yitao & Jia, Bin & Yan, Xiao-Yong & Zhi, Danyue & Song, Dongdong & Chen, Yan & de Bok, Michiel & Tavasszy, Lóránt A. & Gao, Ziyou, 2023. "Uncovering and modeling the hierarchical organization of urban heavy truck flows," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    2. Ferrari, Paolo, 2018. "Some necessary conditions for the success of innovations in rail freight transport," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 747-758.
    3. Ferrari, Paolo, 2016. "Instability and dynamic cost elasticities in freight transport systems," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 226-233.

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