IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/transe/v61y2014icp1-12.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Dynamic impact on global supply chains performance of disruptions propagation produced by terrorist acts

Author

Listed:
  • Bueno-Solano, Alfredo
  • Cedillo-Campos, Miguel Gastón

Abstract

Understanding disruptions and how their effects propagate through the supply chain is critical to promote security and efficient movement of goods. This research proposes a system dynamics model as an effective quantitative approach for analyzing the effects of the materialization and simultaneous propagation of disruptions produced by terrorist acts on global supply chains performance. The article shows that the impact on inventory levels in the supply chain can increase 600% compared to normal operating conditions as a result of increasing the security measures on international borders. Finally, useful conclusions for designing more resilient supply chains and future research are exposed.

Suggested Citation

  • Bueno-Solano, Alfredo & Cedillo-Campos, Miguel Gastón, 2014. "Dynamic impact on global supply chains performance of disruptions propagation produced by terrorist acts," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-12.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:transe:v:61:y:2014:i:c:p:1-12
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2013.09.005
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1366554513001592
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.tre.2013.09.005?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Thun, Jörn-Henrik & Hoenig, Daniel, 2011. "An empirical analysis of supply chain risk management in the German automotive industry," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(1), pages 242-249, May.
    2. John D. Sterman, 1989. "Modeling Managerial Behavior: Misperceptions of Feedback in a Dynamic Decision Making Experiment," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 35(3), pages 321-339, March.
    3. Wilson, Martha C., 2007. "The impact of transportation disruptions on supply chain performance," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 43(4), pages 295-320, July.
    4. Sterman, John D., 1989. "Misperceptions of feedback in dynamic decision making," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 301-335, June.
    5. Pfohl, Hans-Christian & Köhler, Holger & Thomas, David, 2010. "State of the art in supply chain risk management research. Empirical and conceptual findings and a roadmap for the implementation in practice," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 41981, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Dmitry Ivanov, 2017. "Simulation-based ripple effect modelling in the supply chain," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(7), pages 2083-2101, April.
    2. Iftikhar, Ilaria Giannoccaro & Anas, 2023. "Mitigating ripple effect in supply networks: the effect of trust and topology on resilience," OSF Preprints 2spt3, Center for Open Science.
    3. Hasani, Aliakbar & Khosrojerdi, Amirhossein, 2016. "Robust global supply chain network design under disruption and uncertainty considering resilience strategies: A parallel memetic algorithm for a real-life case study," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 20-52.
    4. Ivanov, Dmitry & Dolgui, Alexandre, 2021. "OR-methods for coping with the ripple effect in supply chains during COVID-19 pandemic: Managerial insights and research implications," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    5. Mohamed El Abdellaoui & Gilles Pache, 2019. "Effects of disruptive events within the supply chain on perceived logistics performance," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(1), pages 41-54.
    6. Niknejad, Ali & Petrovic, Dobrila, 2016. "A fuzzy dynamic Inoperability Input–output Model for strategic risk management in Global Production Networks," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 44-58.
    7. Antonio Zavala-Alcívar & María-José Verdecho & Juan-José Alfaro-Saiz, 2020. "A Conceptual Framework to Manage Resilience and Increase Sustainability in the Supply Chain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-38, August.
    8. Tortorella, Guilherme L. & Fogliatto, Flavio S. & Saurin, Tarcísio A. & Tonetto, Leandro M. & McFarlane, Duncan, 2022. "Contributions of Healthcare 4.0 digital applications to the resilience of healthcare organizations during the COVID-19 outbreak," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    9. Cheshmberah Mohsen, 2020. "Developing an Integrated Framework for Supplier Evaluation based on Relevant Attributes and Performance Measures," Logistics, Supply Chain, Sustainability and Global Challenges, Sciendo, vol. 11(1), pages 101-113, February.
    10. Cedillo-Campos, Miguel Gastón & Piña-Barcenas, Jared & Pérez-González, Carlos Mario & Mora-Vargas, Jaime, 2022. "How to measure and monitor the transportation infrastructure contribution to logistics value of supply chains?," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 120-129.
    11. A. V. Thomas & Biswajit Mahanty, 2021. "Dynamic assessment of control system designs of information shared supply chain network experiencing supplier disruption," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 425-451, March.
    12. Cedillo-Campos, Miguel Gastón & Lizarraga-Lizarraga, Giovanni & Martner-Peyrelongue, Carlos Daniel, 2017. "MiF3 method: Modeling intermodal fluidity freight flows," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 15-24.
    13. Lai, Xinfeng & Chen, Zhixiang & Wang, Xin & Chiu, Chun-Hung, 2023. "Risk propagation and mitigation mechanisms of disruption and trade risks for a global production network," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    14. Ernesto A. Lagarda-Leyva & María Paz Guadalupe Acosta-Quintana & Javier Portugal-Vásquez & Arnulfo A. Naranjo-Flores & Alfredo Bueno-Solano, 2023. "System Dynamics and Sustainable Solution: The Case in a Large-Scale Pallet Manufacturing Company," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-21, July.
    15. Chen, Li-Ming & Liu, Yan Emma & Yang, Shu-Jung Sunny, 2015. "Robust supply chain strategies for recovering from unanticipated disasters," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 198-214.
    16. Yang, Yuefeng & Xu, Xuerong, 2015. "Post-disaster grain supply chain resilience with government aid," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 139-159.
    17. Tianjian Yang & Weiguo Fan, 2016. "Information management strategies and supply chain performance under demand disruptions," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(1), pages 8-27, January.
    18. Balster, Andreas & Friedrich, Hanno, 2019. "Dynamic freight flow modelling for risk evaluation in food supply," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 4-22.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. A. V. Thomas & Biswajit Mahanty, 2021. "Dynamic assessment of control system designs of information shared supply chain network experiencing supplier disruption," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 425-451, March.
    2. Katsoras, Efthymios & Georgiadis, Patroklos, 2022. "An integrated System Dynamics model for Closed Loop Supply Chains under disaster effects: The case of COVID-19," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
    3. V.L.M. Spiegler & A.T. Potter & M.M. Naim & D.R. Towill, 2016. "The value of nonlinear control theory in investigating the underlying dynamics and resilience of a grocery supply chain," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(1), pages 265-286, January.
    4. Cannella, Salvatore & Dominguez, Roberto & Ponte, Borja & Framinan, Jose M., 2018. "Capacity restrictions and supply chain performance: Modelling and analysing load-dependent lead times," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 264-277.
    5. Rana Azghandi & Jacqueline Griffin & Mohammad S. Jalali, 2018. "Minimization of Drug Shortages in Pharmaceutical Supply Chains: A Simulation-Based Analysis of Drug Recall Patterns and Inventory Policies," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-14, December.
    6. Tianjian Yang & Weiguo Fan, 2016. "Information management strategies and supply chain performance under demand disruptions," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(1), pages 8-27, January.
    7. Efthymios Katsoras & Patroklos Georgiadis, 2022. "A Dynamic Analysis for Mitigating Disaster Effects in Closed Loop Supply Chains," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-20, April.
    8. Qing Zhang & Weiguo Fan & Jianchang Lu & Siqian Wu & Xuechao Wang, 2021. "Research on Dynamic Analysis and Mitigation Strategies of Supply Chains under Different Disruption Risks," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-29, February.
    9. Hazhir Rahmandad & Nelson Repenning, 2016. "Capability erosion dynamics," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(4), pages 649-672, April.
    10. Ma, Yungao & Wang, Nengmin & He, Zhengwen & Lu, Jizhou & Liang, Huigang, 2015. "Analysis of the bullwhip effect in two parallel supply chains with interacting price-sensitive demands," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 243(3), pages 815-825.
    11. Rich, Karl M. & Ross, R. Brent & Baker, A. Derek & Negassa, Asfaw, 2011. "Quantifying value chain analysis in the context of livestock systems in developing countries," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 214-222, April.
    12. Hazhir Rahmandad, 2012. "Impact of Growth Opportunities and Competition on Firm-Level Capability Development Trade-offs," Organization Science, INFORMS, vol. 23(1), pages 138-154, February.
    13. F Ackermann & C Eden & T Williams & S Howick, 2007. "Systemic risk assessment: a case study," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 58(1), pages 39-51, January.
    14. Rika Ampuh Hadiguna, 2012. "Decision support framework for risk assessment of sustainable supply chain," International Journal of Logistics Economics and Globalisation, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 4(1/2), pages 35-54.
    15. Sadrieh, A., 2003. "Equity versus Warm Glow in Intergenerational Giving," Other publications TiSEM 89f19483-3c73-4838-854f-9, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    16. Jaksic, Marko & Rusjan, Borut, 2008. "The effect of replenishment policies on the bullwhip effect: A transfer function approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 184(3), pages 946-961, February.
    17. Cannella, S. & Ciancimino, E. & Ashayeri, J., 2010. "On the Significance of Demand and Inventory Smoothing Interventions in Supply Chain," Other publications TiSEM 03de2e58-4ef5-40a3-96e1-6, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    18. Ghaffarzadegan, Navid & Xue, Yi & Larson, Richard C., 2017. "Work-education mismatch: An endogenous theory of professionalization," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 261(3), pages 1085-1097.
    19. Catherine Durnell Cramton, 2001. "The Mutual Knowledge Problem and Its Consequences for Dispersed Collaboration," Organization Science, INFORMS, vol. 12(3), pages 346-371, June.
    20. Sarah Gerritsen & Sophia Harré & David Rees & Ana Renker-Darby & Ann E. Bartos & Wilma E. Waterlander & Boyd Swinburn, 2020. "Community Group Model Building as a Method for Engaging Participants and Mobilising Action in Public Health," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(10), pages 1-12, May.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:transe:v:61:y:2014:i:c:p:1-12. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/600244/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.