IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/transb/v53y2013icp64-81.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Travel time estimation for urban road networks using low frequency probe vehicle data

Author

Listed:
  • Jenelius, Erik
  • Koutsopoulos, Haris N.

Abstract

The paper presents a statistical model for urban road network travel time estimation using vehicle trajectories obtained from low frequency GPS probes as observations, where the vehicles typically cover multiple network links between reports. The network model separates trip travel times into link travel times and intersection delays and allows correlation between travel times on different network links based on a spatial moving average (SMA) structure. The observation model presents a way to estimate the parameters of the network model, including the correlation structure, through low frequency sampling of vehicle traces. Link-specific effects are combined with link attributes (speed limit, functional class, etc.) and trip conditions (day of week, season, weather, etc.) as explanatory variables. The approach captures the underlying factors behind spatial and temporal variations in speeds, which is useful for traffic management, planning and forecasting. The model is estimated using maximum likelihood. The model is applied in a case study for the network of Stockholm, Sweden. Link attributes and trip conditions (including recent snowfall) have significant effects on travel times and there is significant positive correlation between segments. The case study highlights the potential of using sparse probe vehicle data for monitoring the performance of the urban transport system.

Suggested Citation

  • Jenelius, Erik & Koutsopoulos, Haris N., 2013. "Travel time estimation for urban road networks using low frequency probe vehicle data," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 64-81.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:transb:v:53:y:2013:i:c:p:64-81
    DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2013.03.008
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0191261513000489
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.trb.2013.03.008?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ramezani, Mohsen & Geroliminis, Nikolas, 2012. "On the estimation of arterial route travel time distribution with Markov chains," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 46(10), pages 1576-1590.
    2. Park, Byung-Jung & Zhang, Yunlong & Lord, Dominique, 2010. "Bayesian mixture modeling approach to account for heterogeneity in speed data," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 44(5), pages 662-673, June.
    3. Fosgerau, Mogens & Fukuda, Daisuke, 2010. "Valuing travel time variability: Characteristics of the travel time distribution on an urban road," MPRA Paper 24330, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. repec:ipt:iptwpa:jrc47967 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Hofleitner, Aude & Herring, Ryan & Bayen, Alexandre, 2012. "Arterial travel time forecast with streaming data: A hybrid approach of flow modeling and machine learning," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 46(9), pages 1097-1122.
    6. Tao Cheng & James Haworth & Jiaqiu Wang, 2012. "Spatio-temporal autocorrelation of road network data," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 14(4), pages 389-413, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Westgate, Bradford S. & Woodard, Dawn B. & Matteson, David S. & Henderson, Shane G., 2016. "Large-network travel time distribution estimation for ambulances," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 252(1), pages 322-333.
    2. Wong, Wai & Shen, Shengyin & Zhao, Yan & Liu, Henry X., 2019. "On the estimation of connected vehicle penetration rate based on single-source connected vehicle data," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 169-191.
    3. Nantes, Alfredo & Ngoduy, Dong & Miska, Marc & Chung, Edward, 2015. "Probabilistic travel time progression and its application to automatic vehicle identification data," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 131-145.
    4. Mojtaba Rajabi-Bahaabadi & Afshin Shariat-Mohaymany & Mohsen Babaei & Daniele Vigo, 2021. "Reliable vehicle routing problem in stochastic networks with correlated travel times," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 299-330, March.
    5. Hans, Etienne & Chiabaut, Nicolas & Leclercq, Ludovic, 2015. "Applying variational theory to travel time estimation on urban arterials," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 169-181.
    6. Hiribarren, Gabriel & Herrera, Juan Carlos, 2014. "Real time traffic states estimation on arterials based on trajectory data," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 19-30.
    7. Comert, Gurcan, 2016. "Queue length estimation from probe vehicles at isolated intersections: Estimators for primary parameters," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 252(2), pages 502-521.
    8. Hu, Yang & Baraldi, Piero & Di Maio, Francesco & Zio, Enrico, 2015. "A particle filtering and kernel smoothing-based approach for new design component prognostics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 19-31.
    9. Laha, A. K. & Putatunda, Sayan, 2017. "Travel Time Prediction for Taxi-GPS Data Streams," IIMA Working Papers WP 2017-03-03, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
    10. Xiao, Yu & Fukuda, Daisuke, 2015. "On the cost of misperceived travel time variability," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 96-112.
    11. Qing Luo & Daniel A. Griffith & Huayi Wu, 2019. "Spatial autocorrelation for massive spatial data: verification of efficiency and statistical power asymptotics," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 237-269, June.
    12. Harding, Matthew & Lamarche, Carlos, 2019. "A panel quantile approach to attrition bias in Big Data: Evidence from a randomized experiment," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 211(1), pages 61-82.
    13. Coogan, Samuel & Flores, Christopher & Varaiya, Pravin, 2017. "Traffic predictive control from low-rank structure," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 1-22.
    14. Saif Eddin Jabari & Nikolaos M. Freris & Deepthi Mary Dilip, 2020. "Sparse Travel Time Estimation from Streaming Data," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 54(1), pages 1-20, January.
    15. Cheng, Qixiu & Liu, Zhiyuan & Lu, Jiawei & List, George & Liu, Pan & Zhou, Xuesong Simon, 2024. "Using frequency domain analysis to elucidate travel time reliability along congested freeway corridors," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    16. Engelson, Leonid & Fosgerau, Mogens, 2011. "Additive measures of travel time variability," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 45(10), pages 1560-1571.
    17. Büchel, Beda & Corman, Francesco, 2022. "Modeling conditional dependencies for bus travel time estimation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 592(C).
    18. Sjoerd van der Spoel & Chintan Amrit & Jos van Hillegersberg, 2017. "Predictive analytics for truck arrival time estimation: a field study at a European distribution centre," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(17), pages 5062-5078, September.
    19. Xiong, Yingge & Mannering, Fred L., 2013. "The heterogeneous effects of guardian supervision on adolescent driver-injury severities: A finite-mixture random-parameters approach," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 39-54.
    20. Lee, Minseo & Sohn, Keemin, 2015. "Inferring the route-use patterns of metro passengers based only on travel-time data within a Bayesian framework using a reversible-jump Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 1-17.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:transb:v:53:y:2013:i:c:p:64-81. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/548/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.