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Credible expectations — The US Department of Energy's Hydrogen Program as enactor and selector of hydrogen technologies

Author

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  • Bakker, Sjoerd
  • van Lente, Harro
  • Meeus, Marius T.H.

Abstract

There are many competing transition paths toward sustainability and even more competing visions and expectations, while only a limited of number of paths can be supported. In the literature so far, not much attention has been paid to the question: what makes one expectation more credible than another?

Suggested Citation

  • Bakker, Sjoerd & van Lente, Harro & Meeus, Marius T.H., 2012. "Credible expectations — The US Department of Energy's Hydrogen Program as enactor and selector of hydrogen technologies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 79(6), pages 1059-1071.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:79:y:2012:i:6:p:1059-1071
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2011.09.007
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Kriechbaum, Michael & Posch, Alfred & Hauswiesner, Angelika, 2021. "Hype cycles during socio-technical transitions: The dynamics of collective expectations about renewable energy in Germany," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(9).
    2. Kriechbaum, Michael & López Prol, Javier & Posch, Alfred, 2018. "Looking back at the future: Dynamics of collective expectations about photovoltaic technology in Germany & Spain," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 76-87.
    3. Levidow, Les & Borda-Rodriguez, Alexander & Papaioannou, Theo, 2014. "UK bioenergy innovation priorities: Making expectations credible in state-industry arenas," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 191-204.
    4. Markus Steen, 2016. "Reconsidering path creation in economic geography: aspects of agency, temporality and methods," European Planning Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(9), pages 1605-1622, September.
    5. Williams, Laurence & Bergman, Noam, 2023. "Koomey's law forevermore? A document analysis of the production and circulation of the promise of ‘green 5G’," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    6. Raghu Garud & Henri A. Schildt & Theresa K. Lant, 2014. "Entrepreneurial Storytelling, Future Expectations, and the Paradox of Legitimacy," Organization Science, INFORMS, vol. 25(5), pages 1479-1492, October.
    7. Hoppmann, Joern & Anadon, Laura Diaz & Narayanamurti, Venkatesh, 2020. "Why matter matters: How technology characteristics shape the strategic framing of technologies," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(1).
    8. Budde, Björn & Konrad, Kornelia, 2019. "Tentative governing of fuel cell innovation in a dynamic network of expectations," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(5), pages 1098-1112.
    9. Korsnes, Marius, 2016. "Ambition and ambiguity: Expectations and imaginaries developing offshore wind in China," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 50-58.
    10. Goddard, George & Farrelly, Megan A., 2018. "Just transition management: Balancing just outcomes with just processes in Australian renewable energy transitions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C), pages 110-123.

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