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Diffusion and competition of voice communication technologies in the Czech and Slovak Republics, 1948–2009

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  • Baláž, Vladimír
  • Williams, Allan M.

Abstract

The paper applies concepts of population dynamics to the evolution of communication technologies. The dynamics of voice communication technologies in the Czech and Slovak Republics in 1948–2009 are examined via the Lotka–Volterra equations. Fixed lines and mobile phones are considered predatory technologies hunting for their ‘prey’ — voice service subscribers. Each technology squeezes out carrying capacity from its competitor. Mobile phones, however, exert a far greater impact on numbers of fixed telephone lines than vice versa. The conclusions consider some limitations of population dynamics approaches in economic modelling and discuss the different growth strategies associated with particular types of technologies.

Suggested Citation

  • Baláž, Vladimír & Williams, Allan M., 2012. "Diffusion and competition of voice communication technologies in the Czech and Slovak Republics, 1948–2009," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 79(2), pages 393-404.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:79:y:2012:i:2:p:393-404
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2011.07.011
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    Cited by:

    1. Guidolin, Mariangela & Guseo, Renato, 2015. "Technological change in the U.S. music industry: Within-product, cross-product and churn effects between competing blockbusters," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 35-46.
    2. Mariangela Guidolin & Renato Guseo, 2020. "Has the iPhone cannibalized the iPad? An asymmetric competition model," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 36(3), pages 465-476, May.
    3. Sutherland, Ewan, 2013. "Independence and the regulatory state—Telecommunications in Scotland and the rest of the United Kingdom," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 1046-1059.
    4. Cerqueti, Roy & Quaranta, Anna Grazia & Ventura, Marco, 2016. "Innovation, imitation and policy inaction," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 22-30.
    5. Avila, Luz Angelica Pirir & Lee, Deok-Joo & Kim, Taegu, 2018. "Diffusion and competitive relationship of mobile telephone service in Guatemala: An empirical analysis," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 116-126.
    6. Neokosmidis, Ioannis & Avaritsiotis, Nikolaos & Ventoura, Zoe & Varoutas, Dimitris, 2015. "Assessment of the gap and (non-)Internet users evolution based on population biology dynamics," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 14-37.

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