IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/tefoso/v209y2024ics0040162524006255.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The impact of carbon transition risk concerns on stock market cycles: Evidence from China

Author

Listed:
  • Luo, Qin
  • Lu, Xinjie
  • Huang, Dengshi
  • Zeng, Qing

Abstract

This study constructs a measure of the Carbon Transition Risk Concern (CTRC) index using a textual method. Then, the paper investigates the ability of the CTRC to influence stock market cycles (volatility) in China. The out-of-sample results indicate that the CTRC significantly increases the predictive accuracy. More importantly, the CTRC contains unique information, even considering the macroeconomic variables and economic policy uncertainty. The channel analysis also suggests that the CTRC primarily affects the stock market cycles through the discount rate channel rather than the cash flow channel. Overall, this study uncovers the predictive capability of the CTRC for stock market volatility in China, offering a fresh perspective for investors and policymakers to enhance their understanding of stock market cycles.

Suggested Citation

  • Luo, Qin & Lu, Xinjie & Huang, Dengshi & Zeng, Qing, 2024. "The impact of carbon transition risk concerns on stock market cycles: Evidence from China," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:209:y:2024:i:c:s0040162524006255
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123827
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162524006255
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123827?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:209:y:2024:i:c:s0040162524006255. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/00401625 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.