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Using machine learning for evaluating global expansion location decisions: An analysis of Chinese manufacturing sector

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  • Huo, Da
  • Chaudhry, Hassan Rauf

Abstract

It is now an acknowledged fact that the Fourth Industrial Revolution, and the advent of other associated technologies, mainly machine learning, are drastically changing the evolutionary framework of corporate decision making. Therefore, this research studies the location decision of Chinese companies in the global network, by using novel machine learning based framework and techniques. These include the 3D vision of mode network, heat map and the hierarchical cluster analysis, with the following support of neural network, and by incorporating the internet intensity as a proxy of the Fourth Industrial Revolution. These machine learning based algorithms reaffirm the relevance of classical variables, such as financial leverage and wage level, for the expansion decisions by Chinese companies. Our results assert that financial leverage has a negative effect on the location decision of companies in the global network. However, these connotations can be mitigated through the interaction of leverage with the firm size that yields a positive effect on the location decision. Moreover, the wage level, through its interaction with financial leverage, is able to exert a negative effect on the location decision. Finally, the effect of the probability, of the involvement in different behavioral clusters on diversification of internet intensity, is further analyzed by machine learning that is based on the neural network.

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  • Huo, Da & Chaudhry, Hassan Rauf, 2021. "Using machine learning for evaluating global expansion location decisions: An analysis of Chinese manufacturing sector," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:163:y:2021:i:c:s0040162520312622
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2020.120436
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    2. Md. Abdul Moktadir & Sanjoy Kumar Paul & Anil Kumar & Sunil Luthra & Syed Mithun Ali & Razia Sultana, 2023. "Strategic drivers to overcome the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic: implications for ensuring resilience in supply chains," Operations Management Research, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 466-488, March.
    3. Alisha Lakra & Shubhkirti Gupta & Ravi Ranjan & Sushanta Tripathy & Deepak Singhal, 2022. "The Significance of Machine Learning in the Manufacturing Sector: An ISM Approach," Logistics, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-15, October.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Location decision; Machine learning; Financial leverage; Neural network; Fourth industrial revolution;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
    • L14 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Transactional Relationships; Contracts and Reputation
    • L86 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Information and Internet Services; Computer Software

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