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Trends in aviation: rebound effect and the struggle composites x aluminum

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  • Devezas, Tessaleno

Abstract

This piece presents in five acts the historical unfolding of two deeply interwoven players of the 20th century, aviation and aluminum, whose explosive worldwide growth evidences signs of the ‘backfire’ phenomenon fulfilling the basic logic of the Jevons’ paradox, and has designed the contours of globalization as we know it today. At the end of the piece it is introduced a third actor, composite materials, which disturbed the hitherto tight marriage between the two main actors. Closing the curtain, some speculations about probable future scenarios are presented.

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  • Devezas, Tessaleno, 2020. "Trends in aviation: rebound effect and the struggle composites x aluminum," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:160:y:2020:i:c:s0040162520310672
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2020.120241
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Magee, Christopher L. & Devezas, Tessaleno C., 2017. "A simple extension of dematerialization theory: Incorporation of technical progress and the rebound effect," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 196-205.
    2. Tessaleno C. Devezas & António M. Vaz & Christopher L. Magee, 2017. "Global Pattern in Materials Consumption: An Empirical Study," Studies on Entrepreneurship, Structural Change and Industrial Dynamics, in: Tessaleno Devezas & João Leitão & Askar Sarygulov (ed.), Industry 4.0, pages 263-292, Springer.
    3. Hunter, Laurie, 2006. "Low Cost Airlines:: Business Model and Employment Relations," European Management Journal, Elsevier, vol. 24(5), pages 315-321, October.
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    1. Devezas, Tessaleno, 2020. "The struggle SARS-CoV-2 vs. homo sapiens–Why the earth stood still, and how will it keep moving on?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).

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