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Test for parameter change in ARMA models with GARCH innovations

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  • Lee, Sangyeol
  • Song, Junmo

Abstract

In this paper, we consider the problem of testing for a parameter change in ARMA models with GARCH innovations. For this purpose, we use the cusum test introduced by Lee et al. [Lee, S., Ha, J., Na, O., Na, S., 2003. The cusum test for parameter change in time series models. Scand. J. Statist. 30, 781-796]. The cusum test statistic is constructed based on the quasi-maximum likelihood estimator. It is shown that the test statistic weakly converges to the sup of the sum of the squares of independent Brownian bridges.

Suggested Citation

  • Lee, Sangyeol & Song, Junmo, 2008. "Test for parameter change in ARMA models with GARCH innovations," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 78(13), pages 1990-1998, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:stapro:v:78:y:2008:i:13:p:1990-1998
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ling, Shiqing & McAleer, Michael, 2003. "Asymptotic Theory For A Vector Arma-Garch Model," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(2), pages 280-310, April.
    2. Sangyeol Lee & Jeongcheol Ha & Okyoung Na & Seongryong Na, 2003. "The Cusum Test for Parameter Change in Time Series Models," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 30(4), pages 781-796, December.
    3. Berkes, Istvan & Horváth, Lajos & Kokoszka, Piotr, 2004. "Testing for parameter constancy in GARCH(p,q) models," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 70(4), pages 263-273, December.
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    2. Mamadou Lamine Diop & William Kengne, 2023. "A general procedure for change-point detection in multivariate time series," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 32(1), pages 1-33, March.
    3. Song, Junmo & Kang, Jiwon, 2018. "Parameter change tests for ARMA–GARCH models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 41-56.
    4. Chunliang Deng & Xingfa Zhang & Yuan Li & Qiang Xiong, 2020. "Garch Model Test Using High-Frequency Data," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-17, November.
    5. Haejune Oh & Sangyeol Lee, 2019. "Modified residual CUSUM test for location-scale time series models with heteroscedasticity," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 71(5), pages 1059-1091, October.

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