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The development planning of the Italian Mezzogiorno: A statistical-mathematical analysis by a Real Business Cycle model

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  • Ferrentino, Rosa
  • Vota, Luca

Abstract

Since the 1950s, the regions of the Italian South (Mezzogiorno) have benefited from large in-kind transfers (namely, the provision of goods and services financed by the richer Northern regions) with the aim of favouring their economic development. The research aim of this manuscript is to evaluate this planning strategy, namely, to understand whether the territorial transfers boost the Mezzogiorno's development or, on the contrary, whether the crowding-out effect of the final government expenditure on private investment and household consumption is the reason for the longstanding low growth of this geographical area.

Suggested Citation

  • Ferrentino, Rosa & Vota, Luca, 2024. "The development planning of the Italian Mezzogiorno: A statistical-mathematical analysis by a Real Business Cycle model," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:soceps:v:96:y:2024:i:c:s0038012124002210
    DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102022
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Crowding-out; Real business cycle (RBC); Mezzogiorno question; Mathematical methods for economics;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • H41 - Public Economics - - Publicly Provided Goods - - - Public Goods
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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