IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/soceps/v86y2023ics0038012122002713.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Analysis and forecast of donations at domestic hunger relief organizations impacted by natural disasters

Author

Listed:
  • Pérez, Eduardo
  • Marthak, Yash V.
  • Méndez Mediavilla, Francis A.

Abstract

Food banks are non-profit, charitable organizations that distribute food and products to people in need. Food bank facilities become disaster relief centers after natural disasters. The uncertainty associated with the arrival of donations and demand make the planning and operations of food banks challenging during the disaster relief period. The goal of this research is to analyse and forecast the amount of donations received by food bank facilities in the U.S. when operating as disaster relief centers. This paper analyses the donations received by two food bank facilities affected by Hurricane Harvey in 2017. An extensive numerical study is performed that compares the donation behavior at each facility before and after the hurricane event. Multiple forecasting models are evaluated to determine their accuracy in predicting the observed behavior. The results show that under disaster operations, the best performing techniques for both food banks were smoothing techniques (i.e., CMA and Holt) and econometric models.

Suggested Citation

  • Pérez, Eduardo & Marthak, Yash V. & Méndez Mediavilla, Francis A., 2023. "Analysis and forecast of donations at domestic hunger relief organizations impacted by natural disasters," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:soceps:v:86:y:2023:i:c:s0038012122002713
    DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2022.101470
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0038012122002713
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.seps.2022.101470?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mohammad M. Habibpour & Mathieu Peiffer & Roland Pepermans & Marc Jegers, 2018. "How giving affects giving: a long-term analysis of donations," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(21), pages 2402-2413, May.
    2. Altay, Nezih & Narayanan, Arunachalam, 2022. "Forecasting in humanitarian operations: Literature review and research needs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 1234-1244.
    3. Zhanguo Zhu & Feng Chu & Alexandre Dolgui & Chengbin Chu & Wei Zhou & Selwyn Piramuthu, 2018. "Recent advances and opportunities in sustainable food supply chain: a model-oriented review," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(17), pages 5700-5722, September.
    4. Yash V. Marthak & Eduardo Pérez & Francis A. Méndez Mediavilla, 2021. "A stochastic programming model for tactical product prepositioning at domestic hunger relief organizations impacted by natural hazards," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 107(3), pages 2263-2291, July.
    5. Jarrett Chapman & Lauren B. Davis & Funda Samanlioglu & Xiuli Qu, 2014. "Evaluating the Effectiveness of Pre-Positioning Policies in Response to Natural Disasters," International Journal of Operations Research and Information Systems (IJORIS), IGI Global, vol. 5(2), pages 86-100, April.
    6. Tarasuk, Valerie & Eakin, Joan M., 2003. "Charitable food assistance as symbolic gesture: an ethnographic study of food banks in Ontario," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 56(7), pages 1505-1515, April.
    7. Irem Sengul Orgut & Julie Ivy & Reha Uzsoy & James R. Wilson, 2016. "Modeling for the equitable and effective distribution of donated food under capacity constraints," IISE Transactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(3), pages 252-266, March.
    8. Davis, Lauren B. & Jiang, Steven X. & Morgan, Shona D. & Nuamah, Isaac A. & Terry, Jessica R., 2016. "Analysis and prediction of food donation behavior for a domestic hunger relief organization," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 26-37.
    9. Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos, 2021. "We need to talk about intermittent demand forecasting," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 291(2), pages 549-559.
    10. Caleb Phillips & Rhonda Hoenigman & Becky Higbee & Tom Reed, 2013. "Understanding the Sustainability of Retail Food Recovery," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(10), pages 1-9, October.
    11. Fianu, Sefakor & Davis, Lauren B., 2018. "A Markov decision process model for equitable distribution of supplies under uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 264(3), pages 1101-1115.
    12. Valerie Tarasuk & Joan Eakin, 2005. "Food assistance through “surplus” food: Insights from an ethnographic study of food bank work," Agriculture and Human Values, Springer;The Agriculture, Food, & Human Values Society (AFHVS), vol. 22(2), pages 177-186, June.
    13. Mohan, S. & Gopalakrishnan, M. & Mizzi, P.J., 2013. "Improving the efficiency of a non-profit supply chain for the food insecure," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(2), pages 248-255.
    14. Altay, Nezih & Litteral, Lewis A. & Rudisill, Frank, 2012. "Effects of correlation on intermittent demand forecasting and stock control," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(1), pages 275-283.
    15. Ibrahim, Rouba & Ye, Han & L’Ecuyer, Pierre & Shen, Haipeng, 2016. "Modeling and forecasting call center arrivals: A literature survey and a case study," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 865-874.
    16. Jon M. Stauffer & Manoj Vanajakumari & Subodha Kumar & Theresa Mangapora, 2022. "Achieving equitable food security: How can food bank mobile pantries fill this humanitarian need," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 31(4), pages 1802-1821, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Akkerman, Renzo & Buisman, Marjolein & Cruijssen, Frans & de Leeuw, Sander & Haijema, Rene, 2023. "Dealing with donations: Supply chain management challenges for food banks," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
    2. Mahmoudi, Monirehalsadat & Shirzad, Khadijeh & Verter, Vedat, 2022. "Decision support models for managing food aid supply chains: A systematic literature review," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 82(PB).
    3. Suárez, Carlos Aníbal & Guaño, Walter A. & Pérez, Cinthia C. & Roa-López, Heydi, 2024. "Multi-objective optimization for perishable product dispatch in a FEFO system for a food bank single warehouse," Operations Research Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 12(C).
    4. Yuanzheng Ma & Tong Wang & Huan Zheng, 2023. "On fairness and efficiency in nonprofit operations: Dynamic resource allocations," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 32(6), pages 1778-1792, June.
    5. Davis, Lauren B. & Jiang, Steven X. & Morgan, Shona D. & Nuamah, Isaac A. & Terry, Jessica R., 2016. "Analysis and prediction of food donation behavior for a domestic hunger relief organization," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 26-37.
    6. Christian John Reynolds & Julia Piantadosi & John Boland, 2015. "Rescuing Food from the Organics Waste Stream to Feed the Food Insecure: An Economic and Environmental Assessment of Australian Food Rescue Operations Using Environmentally Extended Waste Input-Output ," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-20, April.
    7. Jon M. Stauffer & Manoj Vanajakumari & Subodha Kumar & Theresa Mangapora, 2022. "Achieving equitable food security: How can food bank mobile pantries fill this humanitarian need," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 31(4), pages 1802-1821, April.
    8. Tanzid Hasnain & Irem Sengul Orgut & Julie Simmons Ivy, 2021. "Elicitation of Preference among Multiple Criteria in Food Distribution by Food Banks," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(12), pages 4475-4500, December.
    9. Rombach, Meike & Bitsch, Vera, 2018. "Sector blending: evidence from the German Food Bank," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 21(2), March.
    10. Dubey, Nistha & Tanksale, Ajinkya, 2022. "A study of barriers for adoption and growth of food banks in India using hybrid DEMATEL and Analytic Network Process," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    11. Altay, Nezih & Narayanan, Arunachalam, 2022. "Forecasting in humanitarian operations: Literature review and research needs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 1234-1244.
    12. Hongyong Fu & Kok Loy Teo & Yujie Li & Lei Wang, 2018. "Weather Risk–Reward Contract for Sustainable Agri-Food Supply Chain with Loss-Averse Farmer," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-25, December.
    13. Garthwaite, K.A. & Collins, P.J. & Bambra, C., 2015. "Food for thought: An ethnographic study of negotiating ill health and food insecurity in a UK foodbank," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 38-44.
    14. Sucharitha, Rahul Srinivas & Lee, Seokcheon, 2022. "GMM clustering for in-depth food accessibility pattern exploration and prediction model of food demand behavior," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    15. Rafiei, Rezvan & Huang, Kai & Verma, Manish, 2022. "Cash versus in-kind transfer programs in humanitarian operations: An optimization program and a case study," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 82(PA).
    16. Alekh Gour & Shikha Aggarwal & Subodha Kumar, 2022. "Lending ears to unheard voices: An empirical analysis of user‐generated content on social media," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 31(6), pages 2457-2476, June.
    17. Lynn McIntyre & Danielle Tougas & Krista Rondeau & Catherine L. Mah, 2016. "“In”-sights about food banks from a critical interpretive synthesis of the academic literature," Agriculture and Human Values, Springer;The Agriculture, Food, & Human Values Society (AFHVS), vol. 33(4), pages 843-859, December.
    18. Garrone, Paola & Melacini, Marco & Perego, Alessandro, 2014. "Opening the black box of food waste reduction," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 129-139.
    19. Salvatore Ammirato & Alberto Michele Felicetti & Massimiliano Ferrara & Cinzia Raso & Antonio Violi, 2021. "Collaborative Organization Models for Sustainable Development in the Agri-Food Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-22, February.
    20. Byrne, Anne T. & Just, David R., 2022. "Review: Private food assistance in high income countries: A guide for practitioners, policymakers, and researchers," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:soceps:v:86:y:2023:i:c:s0038012122002713. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/seps .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.