IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/riibaf/v70y2024ipbs027553192400179x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Commodity market stability and sustainable development: The effect of public health policies

Author

Listed:
  • Ding, Shusheng
  • Wang, Anqi
  • Cui, Tianxiang
  • Du, Anna Min
  • Zhou, Xinmiao

Abstract

This study explores the influence of public health policies on commodity market volatility during public health emergencies, such as pandemics, using data from China and the US. We investigate how stringent public health measures can mitigate the effects of pandemics on the stability of commodity markets by stabilizing domestic demand and supply of natural resources. Our findings highlight the interconnectedness between commodity market stability and oil production, showing that firms increase their oil inventories in response to oil market volatility as a precautionary measure. This action, in turn, affects the amount of oil available for production, impacting oil consumption and extraction rates. We demonstrate that stability in the oil market significantly influences not only oil consumption but also has broader implications for sustainable development, green asset markets, and carbon emissions.

Suggested Citation

  • Ding, Shusheng & Wang, Anqi & Cui, Tianxiang & Du, Anna Min & Zhou, Xinmiao, 2024. "Commodity market stability and sustainable development: The effect of public health policies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PB).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:70:y:2024:i:pb:s027553192400179x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102386
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S027553192400179X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102386?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mokni, Khaled & Mensi, Walid & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Ajmi, Ahdi Noomen, 2022. "Green bonds and oil price shocks and uncertainty: A safe haven analysis," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 238-254.
    2. Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2022. "Joint Bayesian inference about impulse responses in VAR models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 457-476.
    3. Ashraf, Badar Nadeem & Goodell, John W., 2022. "COVID-19 social distancing measures and economic growth: Distinguishing short- and long-term effects," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    4. Salisu, Afees A. & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Lawal, Adedoyin, 2021. "Hedging oil price risk with gold during COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    5. Iuga, Iulia Cristina & Mudakkar, Syeda Rabab & Dragolea, Larisa Loredana, 2024. "Agricultural commodities market reaction to COVID-19," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    6. Wen, Fenghua & Wu, Nan & Gong, Xu, 2020. "China's carbon emissions trading and stock returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    7. Goodell, John W. & Corbet, Shaen, 2023. "Commodity market exposure to energy-firm distress: Evidence from the Colonial Pipeline ransomware attack," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    8. Azhgaliyeva, Dina & Kapsalyamova, Zhanna & Mishra, Ranjeeta, 2022. "Oil price shocks and green bonds: An empirical evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    9. Farid, Saqib & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Paltrinieri, Andrea & Nepal, Rabindra, 2022. "Impact of COVID-19 on the quantile connectedness between energy, metals and agriculture commodities," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    10. Ding, Shusheng & Cui, Tianxiang & Zhang, Yongmin, 2022. "Futures volatility forecasting based on big data analytics with incorporating an order imbalance effect," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    11. Gunay, Samet & Kurtulmuş, Bekir Emre, 2021. "COVID-19 social distancing and the US service sector: What do we learn?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    12. Chen, Ruoyu & Iqbal, Najaf & Irfan, Muhammad & Shahzad, Farrukh & Fareed, Zeeshan, 2022. "Does financial stress wreak havoc on banking, insurance, oil, and gold markets? New empirics from the extended joint connectedness of TVP-VAR model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    13. Jia, Zhijie & Wen, Shiyan & Lin, Boqiang, 2021. "The effects and reacts of COVID-19 pandemic and international oil price on energy, economy, and environment in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 302(C).
    14. Yang, Xiao & Anser, Muhammad Khalid & Yusop, Zulkornain & Abbas, Shujaat & Khan, Muhammad Azhar & Zaman, Khalid, 2022. "Volatility in mineral resource pricing causes ecological footprints: A cloud on the horizon," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    15. Ding, Shusheng & Zhang, Yongmin, 2020. "Cross market predictions for commodity prices," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 455-462.
    16. Huchet, Nicolas & Fam, Papa Gueye, 2016. "The role of speculation in international futures markets on commodity prices," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 49-65.
    17. Brown, Stephen P.A. & Huntington, Hillard G., 2017. "OPEC and world oil security," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 512-523.
    18. Zhang, Yongmin & Wang, Ruizhi, 2022. "COVID-19 impact on commodity futures volatilities," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    19. Ashraf, Badar Nadeem & El Ghoul, Sadok & Goodell, John W. & Guedhami, Omrane, 2022. "What does COVID-19 teach us about the role of national culture? Evidence from social distancing restrictions," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    20. Bhar, Ramaprasad & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2011. "Commodities and financial variables: Analyzing relationships in a changing regime environment," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 469-484, October.
    21. Corbet, Shaen & Goodell, John W. & Günay, Samet, 2020. "Co-movements and spillovers of oil and renewable firms under extreme conditions: New evidence from negative WTI prices during COVID-19," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    22. Yurong Zhao & Yingying Zhang & Weixian Wei, 2021. "Quantifying international oil price shocks on renewable energy development in China," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(3), pages 329-344, January.
    23. Lin, Boqiang & Su, Tong, 2021. "Does COVID-19 open a Pandora's box of changing the connectedness in energy commodities?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    24. Wu, Ruirui & Qin, Zhongfeng & Liu, Bing-Yue, 2023. "Connectedness between carbon and sectoral commodity markets: Evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    25. Yang, Tianle & Dong, Qingyuan & Du, Min & Du, Qunyang, 2023. "Geopolitical risks, oil price shocks and inflation: Evidence from a TVP–SV–VAR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    26. Umar, Zaghum & Hadhri, Sinda & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Usman, Muhammad & Umar, Muhammad, 2024. "Return and volatility spillovers among oil price shocks and international green bond markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    27. Bickley, Steve J. & Brumpton, Martin & Chan, Ho Fai & Colthurst, Richard & Torgler, Benno, 2021. "The stabilizing effect of social distancing: Cross-country differences in financial market response to COVID-19 pandemic policies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    28. Li, Yiying & Ren, Xiaohang & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2023. "Vulnerability of sustainable markets to fossil energy shocks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    29. Gong, Xu & Guan, Keqin & Chen, Liqing & Liu, Tangyong & Fu, Chengbo, 2021. "What drives oil prices? — A Markov switching VAR approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    30. Ding, Shusheng & Wang, Kaihao & Cui, Tianxiang & Du, Min, 2023. "The time-varying impact of geopolitical risk on natural resource prices: The post-COVID era evidence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    31. Ahmed, Maruf Yakubu & Sarkodie, Samuel Asumadu, 2021. "COVID-19 pandemic and economic policy uncertainty regimes affect commodity market volatility," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    32. Zhang, Yue-Jun & Lin, Jia-Juan, 2019. "Can the VAR model outperform MRS model for asset allocation in commodity market under different risk preferences of investors?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    33. Huang, Yisu & Xu, Weiju & Huang, Dengshi & Zhao, Chenchen, 2023. "Chinese crude oil futures volatility and sustainability: An uncertainty indices perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    34. Khan, Khalid & Su, Chi Wei & Koseoglu, Sinem Derindere, 2022. "Who are the influencers in the commodity markets during COVID-19?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    35. Okwanya, Innocent & Abah, Patricia O. & Amaka, Eje-Ojeka G. & Ozturk, Ilhan & Alhassan, Abdulkareem & Bekun, Festus Victor, 2023. "Does carbon emission react to oil price shocks? Implications for sustainable growth in Africa," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    36. Ma, Richie Ruchuan & Xiong, Tao & Bao, Yukun, 2021. "The Russia-Saudi Arabia oil price war during the COVID-19 pandemic," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    37. Peng, Lijuan & Liang, Chao, 2023. "Sustainable development during the post-COVID-19 period: Role of crude oil," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    38. Wang, Kai-Hua & Wen, Cui-Ping & Long, Hai & Moldovan, Nicoleta-Claudia, 2024. "Towards sustainable development: Exploring the spillover effects of green technology innovation on energy markets and economic cycles," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    39. Guo, Shanwen & Wang, Qibin & Hordofa, Tolassa Temesgen & Kaur, Prabjot & Nguyen, Ngoc Quynh & Maneengam, Apichit, 2022. "Does COVID-19 pandemic cause natural resources commodity prices volatility? Empirical evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hu, Yang & Lang, Chunlin & Corbet, Shaen & Wang, Junchuan, 2024. "The impact of COVID-19 on the volatility connectedness of the Chinese tourism sector," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    2. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham, 2023. "Higher-order moment risk connectedness and optimal investment strategies between international oil and commodity futures markets: Insights from the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia-Ukraine conflict," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    3. Yarovaya, Larisa & Brzeszczyński, Janusz & Goodell, John W. & Lucey, Brian & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2022. "Rethinking financial contagion: Information transmission mechanism during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    4. Pham, Linh & Kamal, Javed Bin, 2024. "Blessings or curse: How do media climate change concerns affect commodity tail risk spillovers?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    5. Juan Antonio Galán-Gutiérrez & Rodrigo Martín-García, 2022. "Fundamentals vs. Financialization during Extreme Events: From Backwardation to Contango, a Copper Market Analysis during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-23, February.
    6. Zhang, Yongmin & Sun, Yiru, 2023. "Did U.S. and Chinese investors respond differently to the exogenous shocks from COVID-19 and the war in Ukraine?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    7. Wang, Tiantian & Wu, Fei & Zhang, Dayong & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "Energy market reforms in China and the time-varying connectedness of domestic and international markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    8. Hu, Yang & Lang, Chunlin & Corbet, Shaen & Hou, Yang (Greg) & Oxley, Les, 2023. "Exploring the dynamic behaviour of commodity market tail risk connectedness during the negative WTI pricing event," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    9. Boubaker, Sabri & Goodell, John W. & Kumar, Satish & Sureka, Riya, 2023. "COVID-19 and finance scholarship: A systematic and bibliometric analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    10. Conlon, Thomas & Corbet, Shaen & Goodell, John W. & Hou, Yang (Greg) & Oxley, Les, 2024. "Financial market information flows when counteracting rogue states: The indirect effects of targeted sanction packages," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 217(C), pages 32-62.
    11. Juncal Cunado & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Realized volatility spillovers between energy and metal markets: a time-varying connectedness approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-17, December.
    12. Arfaoui, Nadia & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Boubaker, Sabri & Mirza, Nawazish & Karim, Sitara, 2023. "Interdependence of clean energy and green markets with cryptocurrencies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    13. Huang, Jionghao & Chen, Baifan & Xu, Yushi & Xia, Xiaohua, 2023. "Time-frequency volatility transmission among energy commodities and financial markets during the COVID-19 pandemic: A Novel TVP-VAR frequency connectedness approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    14. Belhassine, Olfa & Karamti, Chiraz, 2021. "Contagion and portfolio management in times of COVID-19," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 73-86.
    15. Zhang, Jiaming & Guo, Songlin & Dou, Bin & Xie, Bingyuan, 2023. "Evidence of the internationalization of China's crude oil futures: Asymmetric linkages to global financial risks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
    16. Tsai, I-Chun & Chen, Han-Bo & Lin, Che-Chun, 2024. "The ability of energy commodities to hedge the dynamic risk of epidemic black swans," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    17. An Cheng & Tonghui Chen & Guogang Jiang & Xinru Han, 2021. "Can Major Public Health Emergencies Affect Changes in International Oil Prices?," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(24), pages 1-13, December.
    18. Yousaf, Imran & Riaz, Yasir & Goodell, John W, 2023. "What do responses of financial markets to the collapse of FTX say about investor interest in cryptocurrencies? Event-study evidence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    19. Tii N. Nchofoung, 2023. "Oil price shocks and energy transition in Africa," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 23/064, African Governance and Development Institute..
    20. Billah, Mabruk & Karim, Sitara & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Vigne, Samuel A., 2022. "Return and volatility spillovers between energy and BRIC markets: Evidence from quantile connectedness," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Public health policy; Commodity market stability; Commodity price volatility; Impulse response function;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E65 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Studies of Particular Policy Episodes
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
    • Q02 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General - - - Commodity Market

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:70:y:2024:i:pb:s027553192400179x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ribaf .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.