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Covenant-lite agreement and credit risk: A key relationship in the leveraged loan market

Author

Listed:
  • De Novellis, G.
  • Musile Tanzi, P.
  • Stanghellini, E.

Abstract

In recent years, the leveraged loan market has experienced considerable growth, with the covenant-lite loan being the predominant agreement. The goal of this research is to assess whether the covenant-lite type reduces or increases the probability of default. Mediation analysis allows us to decompose the effect of balance sheet indicators on a default event into direct and indirect effects, the latter mediated by the covenant-lite. Results show that the covenant-lite is granted to borrowers with a greater profitability. In turn, all other conditions being equal, this agreement plays a role in making a default event less likely, giving rise to a significant indirect effect.

Suggested Citation

  • De Novellis, G. & Musile Tanzi, P. & Stanghellini, E., 2024. "Covenant-lite agreement and credit risk: A key relationship in the leveraged loan market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PB).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:70:y:2024:i:pb:s0275531924001703
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102377
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Covenant-lite agreement; Credit risk; Leveraged loans; Syndicated loans; Mediation analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors
    • G24 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Investment Banking; Venture Capital; Brokerage
    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables

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