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Responses of REITs index and commercial property prices to economic uncertainties: A VAR analysis

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  • Gholipour, Hassan F.
  • Tajaddini, Reza
  • Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza
  • Yam, Sharon

Abstract

We use market participants’ perceived uncertainty to investigate the response of real estate investment trusts index (REITs Index) and commercial property prices to shocks in economic uncertainty. Using US quarterly data and applying a vector autoregression (VAR) model, our results show that an increase in market participants’ perceived uncertainty leads to a significant drop in the REITs Index and commercial property prices. In addition, we show that the REITs Index responds quicker to the uncertainty shocks than the commercial property prices. Our findings provide important implications for investors.

Suggested Citation

  • Gholipour, Hassan F. & Tajaddini, Reza & Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza & Yam, Sharon, 2021. "Responses of REITs index and commercial property prices to economic uncertainties: A VAR analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:58:y:2021:i:c:s0275531921000787
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2021.101457
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    1. Paul Anglin & Jianxin Cui & Yanmin Gao & Li Zhang, 2021. "Analyst Forecasts during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from REITs," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-21, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Commercial property; REITs; COVID-19; Uncertainty; VAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • R33 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Nonagricultural and Nonresidential Real Estate Markets

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