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Performance of Canadian banks and oil price movements

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  • Killins, Robert N.
  • Mollick, Andre V.

Abstract

We employ dynamic panel data models to examine the performance (profitability and asset quality) of a large sample of Canadian banks from 1996Q1 to 2018Q2. Profits, measured as return on assets (ROA), depend on bank factors (capital adequacy, loan loss provisions (LLP) and non-interest income), the slope of the yield curve, and several oil price measures. Our findings suggest that the persistence of profits is estimated to be around 0.40 and the direct impact of oil prices tends to be positive on profits. When oil interacts with non-interest income, there is a strong positive relationship. This can be interpreted as oil price increases leading to more banking transactions (derivatives, fees) and then higher profits. Our evidence also suggests that positive oil price changes increase the asset quality of Canadian banks by reducing the ratio of LLP.

Suggested Citation

  • Killins, Robert N. & Mollick, Andre V., 2020. "Performance of Canadian banks and oil price movements," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:54:y:2020:i:c:s0275531919309638
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2020.101258
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    2. Marei Elbadri & Eralp Bektaş, 2022. "Dynamic relationship among the bank stability, oil, and gold prices: Evidence from the Islamic banks operating in the Gulf Cooperation Council countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2153-2168, April.
    3. Ramlall, Indranarain, 2022. "Does geographical proximity matter in determining the profitability of banks?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 44(6), pages 1251-1279.
    4. Mollick, André V. & Killins, Robert N. & Egly, Peter V. & Johnk, David W., 2024. "Bank equity returns and oil prices: The story from U.S. regional banks during the “shale oil” revolution," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PA).
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    6. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein & Al-Shboul, Mohammad, 2022. "Oil structural shocks, bank-level characteristics, and systemic risk: Evidence from dual banking systems," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(4).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bank profits; Dynamic panel data; Loan loss provisions; Oil prices;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

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