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Economic policy uncertainty and voluntary disclosures:How do Chinese firms respond?

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  • Lu, Cuicui
  • Parsley, David
  • Xue, Bing

Abstract

Equity markets in China present a unique setting to study voluntary disclosures due, inter alia, to the small role equity markets play in firm finance, the low participation rates by individuals, its relative isolation from global investors, the prevalence of state-owned enterprises (SOEs), and the environment of high economic policy uncertainty (EPU). This study documents a robust positive relationship between voluntary earnings forecast disclosures and uncertainty over economic policy, and we find that the effect of EPU on Chinese firms’ propensity to voluntarily disclose is increasing in leverage, institutionals ownership, and analyst coverage. Moreover, SOEs voluntarily disclose less than non-SOEs on average but they are more willing to disclose once EPU increases. Combined, our findings suggest that firms in markets with more synchronous stock price movements and lower information content use disclosures to reduce information asymmetries given heightened economic policy uncertainty. Our identification strategy instruments economic policy uncertainty with Chinese natural disasters during the post-GFC years.

Suggested Citation

  • Lu, Cuicui & Parsley, David & Xue, Bing, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty and voluntary disclosures:How do Chinese firms respond?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 141-167.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:92:y:2024:i:c:p:141-167
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.02.008
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic policy uncertainty; Voluntary earnings forecasts; Dynamic probit model; Control function; Disasters;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G38 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • M48 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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