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Sovereign bond spreads and extra-financial performance: An empirical analysis of emerging markets

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  • Margaretic, Paula
  • Pouget, Sébastien

Abstract

This paper studies the impact of a country's extra-financial performance on its sovereign bond spreads. Sovereign bond spreads reflect both an economic default risk and a strategic default risk. We hypothesize that a country's extra-financial performance reduces default risk by signalling good commitment ability. We test this hypothesis for the countries which bonds are included in the JP Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Global. Over the period from 2001 to 2010, we find that an emerging country's average cost of capital decreases with its governance and social performance. Furthermore, we demonstrate that a good social performance signals an emerging economy's long-term orientation and commitment to repay its debt in the future.

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  • Margaretic, Paula & Pouget, Sébastien, 2018. "Sovereign bond spreads and extra-financial performance: An empirical analysis of emerging markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 340-355.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:58:y:2018:i:c:p:340-355
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2018.04.005
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    5. Sy-Hoa Ho & Rim Oueghlissi & Riadh El Ferktaji, 2024. "Testing for Causality Between Economic Growth and Environmental, Social, and Governance Performance: New Evidence from a Global Sample," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(2), pages 7769-7787, June.
    6. Maria E. de Boyrie & Ivelina Pavlova, 2020. "Analysing the link between environmental performance and sovereign credit risk," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(54), pages 5949-5966, November.
    7. Anand, Arsh & Vanpée, Rosanne & Lončarski, Igor, 2023. "Sustainability and sovereign credit risk," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    8. Sonenshine, Ralph & Kumari, Sapna, 2022. "The differential impact of political risk factors on emerging market bond spreads and credit rating outlooks," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    9. Liu, Peipei & Huang, Wei-Qiang, 2024. "Spatial analysis of sovereign risk from the perspective of EPU spillovers," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 427-443.
    10. Anamaria Dan & Adriana Tiron-Tudor, 2021. "The Determinants of Green Bond Issuance in the European Union," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-15, September.

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