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Fund flow bias in market timing skill. Evidence of the clientele effect

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  • Muñoz, Fernando
  • Vargas, María
  • Vicente, Ruth

Abstract

This paper investigates whether profit-seeking and values-driven investor decisions have an impact on the timing ability of socially responsible mutual fund managers. Surprisingly, we find evidence of successful market timing skill for positively screened mutual fund managers who fulfill the objectives of profit-seeking investors, demonstrating the importance of controlling for the clientele effect. This result may indicate a successful, forward-looking management style in this type of fund. Furthermore, we present certain evidence of the “smart money” phenomenon among profit-seeking investors who pursue the persistent component of returns and thus cause a downward bias in market timing skill.

Suggested Citation

  • Muñoz, Fernando & Vargas, María & Vicente, Ruth, 2014. "Fund flow bias in market timing skill. Evidence of the clientele effect," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 257-269.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:33:y:2014:i:c:p:257-269
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2014.05.006
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    2. Tao, Ran & Su, Chi-Wei & Xiao, Yidong & Dai, Ke & Khalid, Fahad, 2021. "Robo advisors, algorithmic trading and investment management: Wonders of fourth industrial revolution in financial markets," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    3. Chen, Rongda & Xu, Guorui & Xu, Feng & Jin, Chenglu & Yu, Jingjing, 2022. "A clientele effect in online lending markets: Evidence from the comovement between investor sentiment and online lending rates," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    4. Wang, Ming-Chang & Cheng, Ming-Yuan, 2014. "The performance synergies between science and engineering and business management backgrounds of managers in high-tech mutual funds: Evidence from Taiwan," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 211-229.
    5. Azmi, Wajahat & Mohamad, Shamsher & Shah, Mohamed Eskandar, 2020. "Ethical investments and financial performance: An international evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    6. Magni, Carlo Alberto & Marchioni, Andrea & Baschieri, Davide, 2023. "The Attribution Matrix and the joint use of Finite Change Sensitivity Index and Residual Income for value-based performance measurement," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 306(2), pages 872-892.
    7. Yarovaya, Larisa & Mirza, Nawazish & Abaidi, Jamila & Hasnaoui, Amir, 2021. "Human Capital efficiency and equity funds’ performance during the COVID-19 pandemic," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 584-591.
    8. Feng, Xunan & Zhou, Mingshan & Chan, Kam C., 2014. "Smart money or dumb money? A study on the selection ability of mutual fund investors in China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 154-170.
    9. Andreu, Laura & Matallín-Sáez, Juan Carlos & Sarto, José Luis, 2018. "Mutual fund performance attribution and market timing using portfolio holdings," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 353-370.
    10. Shu-Ling Lin & Jun Lu, 2020. "Did Institutional Investors’ Behavior Affect U.S.-China Equity Market Sentiment? Evidence from the U.S.-China Trade Turbulence," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(6), pages 1-17, June.
    11. Muñoz, Fernando, 2016. "Cash flow timing skills of socially responsible mutual fund investors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 110-124.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cash flows; Market timing; Mutual funds; Socially responsible investments; Screens;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • A13 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - Relation of Economics to Social Values
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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