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Regulation and grid expansion investment with increased penetration of renewable generation

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  • Kucsera, Dénes
  • Rammerstorfer, Margarethe

Abstract

The recent trend toward decarbonization led to crucial challenges for network operators and regulators in terms of network reliability and optimal grid expansion. In order to analyze the effects of rising shares of renewable energy sources on investment decisions in both, the generation and the transmission sector, the following article brings together the two sectors in a single real options framework. This allows us to derive the optimal timing of the production capacity expansion and the optimal transmission price which assures its connection. We find that an increasing penetration through renewables leads to investment postponement in both sectors, which goes along with increased systematic risk. However, we show that the negative effects on the transmission firm can be overcome by choosing an appropriate incentive system.

Suggested Citation

  • Kucsera, Dénes & Rammerstorfer, Margarethe, 2014. "Regulation and grid expansion investment with increased penetration of renewable generation," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 184-200.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:resene:v:37:y:2014:i:c:p:184-200
    DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2013.11.016
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    Cited by:

    1. He, Y.X. & Jiao, J. & Chen, R.J. & Shu, H., 2018. "The optimization of Chinese power grid investment based on transmission and distribution tariff policy: A system dynamics approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 112-122.
    2. Lauren Knapp & Jacob Ladenburg, 2015. "How Spatial Relationships Influence Economic Preferences for Wind Power—A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 8(6), pages 1-25, June.
    3. Jinchao Li & Lin Chen & Yuwei Xiang & Jinying Li & Dong Peng, 2018. "Influencing Factors and Development Trend Analysis of China Electric Grid Investment Demand Based on a Panel Co-Integration Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-14, January.
    4. Koch, Nicolas & Reuter, Wolf Heinrich & Fuss, Sabine & Grosjean, Godefroy, 2017. "Permits vs. offsets under investment uncertainty," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 33-47.
    5. Marie-Cécile Alvarez-Herault & Jean-Pierre Dib & Oana Ionescu & Bertrand Raison, 2022. "Long-Term Planning of Electrical Distribution Grids: How Load Uncertainty and Flexibility Affect the Investment Timing," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(16), pages 1-27, August.
    6. Zhu, Lei & Li, Li & Su, Bin, 2021. "The price-bidding strategy for investors in a renewable auction: An option games–based study," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    7. Kozlova, Mariia, 2017. "Real option valuation in renewable energy literature: Research focus, trends and design," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 180-196.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Regulation; Renewables; Price cap; Real options; G31; G38; G11;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies
    • G38 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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