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Modeling the potential impact of future lithium recycling on lithium demand in China: A dynamic SFA approach

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  • Guo, Xueyi
  • Zhang, Jingxi
  • Tian, Qinghua

Abstract

Lithium is considered to be a strategic metal in the world. It's meaningful to evaluate the stocks of recyclable lithium resources and give an estimation on the recycling impact on lithium supply chain. This study establishes a dynamic substance flow model of recyclable lithium resources in China from 2000 to 2030. The model provides sales, stock amount and secondary utilization amount of recyclable lithium resources from mobile phone, laptop computer, desktop computer, camera, EV and E-bike in China, based on the historical data. The results indicate that the accumulatively amount of obsolete LIBs will reach 121 billion until 2030, which contain over 522 kilotons recyclable lithium resources. Among six kinds of products as-investigated, the EV takes the greatest sector and owns the highest growth speed. Considering the current situation that lithium resources are highly-dependent on imports, the domestically yield should be emphasized as a compensation. Technology and equipment of lithium recycling and salt lake exploitation should be further developed. Specific laws and regulations focusing on the allocation and recycle of lithium resources should to be strictly compliance with, while the alternatives of lithium are supposed to apply to non-battery products.

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  • Guo, Xueyi & Zhang, Jingxi & Tian, Qinghua, 2021. "Modeling the potential impact of future lithium recycling on lithium demand in China: A dynamic SFA approach," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:rensus:v:137:y:2021:i:c:s1364032120307474
    DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2020.110461
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    Cited by:

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    3. Helton Rogger Regatieri & Oswaldo Hideo Ando Junior & José Ricardo Cezar Salgado, 2022. "Systematic Review of Lithium-Ion Battery Recycling Literature Using ProKnow-C and Methodi Ordinatio," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-23, February.
    4. Li, Zehong & Wang, Chunying & Chen, Jian, 2024. "Supply and demand of lithium in China based on dynamic material flow analysis," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    5. Ozawa, Akito & Morimoto, Shinichirou & Hatayama, Hiroki & Anzai, Yurie, 2023. "Energy–materials nexus of electrified vehicle penetration in Japan: A study on energy transition and cobalt flow," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).

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