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ANFIS-based modelling for photovoltaic power supply system: A case study

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  • Mellit, Adel
  • Kalogirou, Soteris A.

Abstract

Due to the various seasonal, monthly and daily changes in meteorological data, it is relatively difficult to find a suitable model for Photovoltaic power supply (PVPS) system. This paper deals with the modelling and simulation of a PVPS system using an Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Scheme (ANFIS) and the proposition of a new expert configuration PVPS system. For the modelling of the PVPS system, it is required to find suitable models for its different components (ANFIS PV generator, ANFIS battery and ANFIS regulator) that could give satisfactory results under variable climatic conditions in order to test its performance and reliability. A database of measured climate data (global radiation, temperature and humidity) and electrical data (photovoltaic, battery and regulator voltage and current) of a PVPS system installed in Tahifet (south of Algeria) has been recorded for the period from 1992 to 1997. These data have been used for the modelling and simulation of the PVPS system. The results indicated that the reliability and the accuracy of the simulated system are excellent and the correlation coefficient between measured values and those estimated by the ANFIS gave a good prediction accuracy of 98%. Additionally, test results show that the ANFIS performed better than the Artificial Neural Network (ANN), which has also being tried to model the system. In addition, a new configuration of an expert PVPS system is proposed in this work. The predicted electrical data by the ANFIS model can be used for several applications in PV systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Mellit, Adel & Kalogirou, Soteris A., 2011. "ANFIS-based modelling for photovoltaic power supply system: A case study," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 250-258.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:36:y:2011:i:1:p:250-258
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2010.06.028
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    3. A. Bassam & O. May Tzuc & M. Escalante Soberanis & L. J. Ricalde & B. Cruz, 2017. "Temperature Estimation for Photovoltaic Array Using an Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-16, August.
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    5. Dizqah, Arash M. & Maheri, Alireza & Busawon, Krishna, 2014. "An accurate method for the PV model identification based on a genetic algorithm and the interior-point method," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 212-222.
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    9. Jha, Sunil Kr. & Bilalovic, Jasmin & Jha, Anju & Patel, Nilesh & Zhang, Han, 2017. "Renewable energy: Present research and future scope of Artificial Intelligence," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 297-317.
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    11. Yea-Kuang Chan & Jyh-Cherng Gu, 2012. "Modeling of Turbine Cycles Using a Neuro-Fuzzy Based Approach to Predict Turbine-Generator Output for Nuclear Power Plants," Energies, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-18, January.
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    13. Fernandez-Jimenez, L. Alfredo & Muñoz-Jimenez, Andrés & Falces, Alberto & Mendoza-Villena, Montserrat & Garcia-Garrido, Eduardo & Lara-Santillan, Pedro M. & Zorzano-Alba, Enrique & Zorzano-Santamaria,, 2012. "Short-term power forecasting system for photovoltaic plants," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 311-317.
    14. Vineet Jain & Tilak Raj, 2018. "An adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system for makespan estimation of flexible manufacturing system assembly shop: a case study," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 9(6), pages 1302-1314, December.
    15. Jun-Hyun Shin & Jin-O Kim, 2020. "On-Line Diagnosis and Fault State Classification Method of Photovoltaic Plant," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-12, September.
    16. Mellit, A. & Sağlam, S. & Kalogirou, S.A., 2013. "Artificial neural network-based model for estimating the produced power of a photovoltaic module," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 71-78.
    17. Enany, Mohamed A. & Farahat, Mohamed A. & Nasr, Ahmed, 2016. "Modeling and evaluation of main maximum power point tracking algorithms for photovoltaics systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 1578-1586.
    18. Zendehboudi, Sohrab & Rezaei, Nima & Lohi, Ali, 2018. "Applications of hybrid models in chemical, petroleum, and energy systems: A systematic review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 2539-2566.
    19. Yaïci, Wahiba & Entchev, Evgueniy, 2016. "Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System modelling for performance prediction of solar thermal energy system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 302-315.
    20. Silvestre, Santiago & Kichou, Sofiane & Chouder, Aissa & Nofuentes, Gustavo & Karatepe, Engin, 2015. "Analysis of current and voltage indicators in grid connected PV (photovoltaic) systems working in faulty and partial shading conditions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 42-50.
    21. Kaloop, Mosbeh R. & Bardhan, Abidhan & Kardani, Navid & Samui, Pijush & Hu, Jong Wan & Ramzy, Ahmed, 2021. "Novel application of adaptive swarm intelligence techniques coupled with adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system in predicting photovoltaic power," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    22. Suganthi, L. & Iniyan, S. & Samuel, Anand A., 2015. "Applications of fuzzy logic in renewable energy systems – A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 585-607.
    23. Selimefendigil, Fatih & Bayrak, Fatih & Oztop, Hakan F., 2018. "Experimental analysis and dynamic modeling of a photovoltaic module with porous fins," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 193-205.
    24. Fatih Selimefendigil & Hakan F. Oztop & Ali J. Chamkha, 2021. "Jet Impingement Heat Transfer of Confined Single and Double Jets with Non-Newtonian Power Law Nanofluid under the Inclined Magnetic Field Effects for a Partly Curved Heated Wall," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-23, May.
    25. Yang, L. & Entchev, E., 2014. "Performance prediction of a hybrid microgeneration system using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) technique," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 197-203.

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