IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v32y2007i14p2350-2360.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Application of artificial neural networks for the wind speed prediction of target station using reference stations data

Author

Listed:
  • Bilgili, Mehmet
  • Sahin, Besir
  • Yasar, Abdulkadir

Abstract

In this study, artificial neural networks (ANNs) were applied to predict the mean monthly wind speed of any target station using the mean monthly wind speeds of neighboring stations which are indicated as reference stations. Hourly wind speed data, collected by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (TSMS) at 8 measuring stations located in the eastern Mediterranean region of Turkey were used. The long-term wind data, containing hourly wind speeds, directions and related information, cover the period between 1992 and 2001. These data were divided into two sections. According to the correlation coefficients, reference and target stations were defined. The mean monthly wind speeds of reference stations were used and also corresponding months were specified in the input layer of the network. On the other hand, the mean monthly wind speed of the target station was utilized in the output layer of the network. Resilient propagation (RP) learning algorithm was applied in the present simulation. The hidden layers and output layer of the network consist of logistic sigmoid transfer function (logsig) and linear transfer function (purelin) as an activation function. Finally, the values determined by ANN model were compared with the actual data. The maximum mean absolute percentage error was found to be 14.13% for Antakya meteorological station and the best result was found to be 4.49% for Mersin meteorological station.

Suggested Citation

  • Bilgili, Mehmet & Sahin, Besir & Yasar, Abdulkadir, 2007. "Application of artificial neural networks for the wind speed prediction of target station using reference stations data," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 32(14), pages 2350-2360.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:32:y:2007:i:14:p:2350-2360
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2006.12.001
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148106003429
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2006.12.001?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mohandes, M.A. & Halawani, T.O. & Rehman, S. & Hussain, Ahmed A., 2004. "Support vector machines for wind speed prediction," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 939-947.
    2. Bilgili, M. & Şahin, B. & Kahraman, A., 2004. "Wind energy potential in Antakya and İskenderun regions, Turkey," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 29(10), pages 1733-1745.
    3. Kalogirou, Soteris A., 2001. "Artificial neural networks in renewable energy systems applications: a review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 5(4), pages 373-401, December.
    4. Çam, Ertugrul & Arcaklıoğlu, Erol & Çavuşoğlu, Abdullah & Akbıyık, Bilge, 2005. "A classification mechanism for determining average wind speed and power in several regions of Turkey using artificial neural networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 227-239.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ata, Rasit, 2015. "Artificial neural networks applications in wind energy systems: a review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 534-562.
    2. Jha, Sunil Kr. & Bilalovic, Jasmin & Jha, Anju & Patel, Nilesh & Zhang, Han, 2017. "Renewable energy: Present research and future scope of Artificial Intelligence," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 297-317.
    3. Bouzgou, Hassen & Benoudjit, Nabil, 2011. "Multiple architecture system for wind speed prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(7), pages 2463-2471, July.
    4. Yurdusev, M.A. & Ata, R. & Çetin, N.S., 2006. "Assessment of optimum tip speed ratio in wind turbines using artificial neural networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 31(12), pages 2153-2161.
    5. Sharifzadeh, Mahdi & Sikinioti-Lock, Alexandra & Shah, Nilay, 2019. "Machine-learning methods for integrated renewable power generation: A comparative study of artificial neural networks, support vector regression, and Gaussian Process Regression," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 513-538.
    6. Hocaoglu, Fatih Onur & Karanfil, Fatih, 2013. "A time series-based approach for renewable energy modeling," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 204-214.
    7. Troncoso, A. & Salcedo-Sanz, S. & Casanova-Mateo, C. & Riquelme, J.C. & Prieto, L., 2015. "Local models-based regression trees for very short-term wind speed prediction," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 589-598.
    8. Wang, Jianzhou & Xiong, Shenghua, 2014. "A hybrid forecasting model based on outlier detection and fuzzy time series – A case study on Hainan wind farm of China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 526-541.
    9. Naseri, F. & Gil, S. & Barbu, C. & Cetkin, E. & Yarimca, G. & Jensen, A.C. & Larsen, P.G. & Gomes, C., 2023. "Digital twin of electric vehicle battery systems: Comprehensive review of the use cases, requirements, and platforms," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    10. Hemmatabady, Hoofar & Welsch, Bastian & Formhals, Julian & Sass, Ingo, 2022. "AI-based enviro-economic optimization of solar-coupled and standalone geothermal systems for heating and cooling," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 311(C).
    11. Hu, Jianming & Wang, Jianzhou & Zeng, Guowei, 2013. "A hybrid forecasting approach applied to wind speed time series," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 185-194.
    12. Selimefendigil, Fatih & Öztop, Hakan F., 2020. "Identification of pulsating flow effects with CNT nanoparticles on the performance enhancements of thermoelectric generator (TEG) module in renewable energy applications," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 1076-1086.
    13. Rosiek, S. & Batlles, F.J., 2010. "Modelling a solar-assisted air-conditioning system installed in CIESOL building using an artificial neural network," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(12), pages 2894-2901.
    14. Buratti, Cinzia & Barelli, Linda & Moretti, Elisa, 2012. "Application of artificial neural network to predict thermal transmittance of wooden windows," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 425-432.
    15. Xiao Liu & Xu Lai & Jin Zou, 2017. "A New MCP Method of Wind Speed Temporal Interpolation and Extrapolation Considering Wind Speed Mixed Uncertainty," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-21, August.
    16. Jani, D.B. & Mishra, Manish & Sahoo, P.K., 2017. "Application of artificial neural network for predicting performance of solid desiccant cooling systems – A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 352-366.
    17. Philippopoulos, Kostas & Deligiorgi, Despina, 2012. "Application of artificial neural networks for the spatial estimation of wind speed in a coastal region with complex topography," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 75-82.
    18. Pasta, Edoardo & Faedo, Nicolás & Mattiazzo, Giuliana & Ringwood, John V., 2023. "Towards data-driven and data-based control of wave energy systems: Classification, overview, and critical assessment," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    19. Santamaría-Bonfil, G. & Reyes-Ballesteros, A. & Gershenson, C., 2016. "Wind speed forecasting for wind farms: A method based on support vector regression," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 790-809.
    20. Zhang, Lifang & Wang, Jianzhou & Niu, Xinsong & Liu, Zhenkun, 2021. "Ensemble wind speed forecasting with multi-objective Archimedes optimization algorithm and sub-model selection," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:32:y:2007:i:14:p:2350-2360. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.