IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v219y2023ip1s0960148123013198.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Bias correction techniques for uncertainty reduction of long-term metocean data for ocean renewable energy systems

Author

Listed:
  • Penalba, Markel
  • Guo, Chao
  • Zarketa-Astigarraga, Ander
  • Cervelli, Giulia
  • Giorgi, Giuseppe
  • Robertson, Bryson

Abstract

The design of effective and reliable solutions for Offshore Renewable Energy (ORE) technologies greatly relies on accurate metocean data. Uncertainties can significantly impact the design process. This paper presents a thorough evaluation of different bias-correction (BC) techniques applied to re-analysis datasets from diverse locations along the Spanish coast, presenting a multi-level evaluation procedure including novel, more appropriate statistical metrics beyond the traditional assessment techniques. First, the quality of raw ERA5 datasets is demonstrated to be rather poor, especially under extreme events, confirming the need for BC. Once the need is identified, results show that only the most sophisticated distribution-mapping BC techniques present the capacity to significantly improve the quality of the datasets, with the linearly-spaced Quantile-mapping (QM) showing the best overall performance for power production conditions (PP), reducing the bias by over an order of magnitude. In contrast, the Gumble Quantile-Mapping (GQM) outperforms the QM in survivability conditions (Surv). However, when computing overall performance of BC techniques, the predominance of PP hinders the relevance of Surv. Hence, adapted metrics with a more realistic balance between the PP and Surv regions are suggested, which show a better suitability of GQM providing more accurate estimations of the average power density and variability.

Suggested Citation

  • Penalba, Markel & Guo, Chao & Zarketa-Astigarraga, Ander & Cervelli, Giulia & Giorgi, Giuseppe & Robertson, Bryson, 2023. "Bias correction techniques for uncertainty reduction of long-term metocean data for ocean renewable energy systems," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(P1).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:219:y:2023:i:p1:s0960148123013198
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2023.119404
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148123013198
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2023.119404?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Penalba, Markel & Aizpurua, Jose Ignacio & Martinez-Perurena, Ander & Iglesias, Gregorio, 2022. "A data-driven long-term metocean data forecasting approach for the design of marine renewable energy systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    2. Christie, David & Neill, Simon P. & Arnold, Peter, 2023. "Characterising the wave energy resource of Lanzarote, Canary Islands," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 1198-1211.
    3. Borja G. Reguero & Iñigo J. Losada & Fernando J. Méndez, 2019. "A recent increase in global wave power as a consequence of oceanic warming," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-14, December.
    4. Rinaldi, Giovanni & Garcia-Teruel, Anna & Jeffrey, Henry & Thies, Philipp R. & Johanning, Lars, 2021. "Incorporating stochastic operation and maintenance models into the techno-economic analysis of floating offshore wind farms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
    5. Carreno-Madinabeitia, Sheila & Ibarra-Berastegi, Gabriel & Sáenz, Jon & Ulazia, Alain, 2021. "Long-term changes in offshore wind power density and wind turbine capacity factor in the Iberian Peninsula (1900–2010)," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    6. Fairley, Iain & Lewis, Matthew & Robertson, Bryson & Hemer, Mark & Masters, Ian & Horrillo-Caraballo, Jose & Karunarathna, Harshinie & Reeve, Dominic E., 2020. "A classification system for global wave energy resources based on multivariate clustering," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
    7. Ulazia, Alain & Penalba, Markel & Ibarra-Berastegui, Gabriel & Ringwood, John & Saénz, Jon, 2017. "Wave energy trends over the Bay of Biscay and the consequences for wave energy converters," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 624-634.
    8. Robertson, Bryson & Bailey, Helen & Clancy, Dan & Ortiz, Juan & Buckham, Bradley, 2016. "Influence of wave resource assessment methodology on wave energy production estimates," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 1145-1160.
    9. Rose, Stephen & Apt, Jay, 2016. "Quantifying sources of uncertainty in reanalysis derived wind speed," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 157-165.
    10. Fairley, I. & Smith, H.C.M. & Robertson, B. & Abusara, M. & Masters, I., 2017. "Spatio-temporal variation in wave power and implications for electricity supply," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 114(PA), pages 154-165.
    11. Alain Ulazia & Markel Penalba & Arkaitz Rabanal & Gabriel Ibarra-Berastegi & John Ringwood & Jon Sáenz, 2018. "Historical Evolution of the Wave Resource and Energy Production off the Chilean Coast over the 20th Century," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-23, August.
    12. Nezhad, M. Majidi & Neshat, M. & Heydari, A. & Razmjoo, A. & Piras, G. & Garcia, D. Astiaso, 2021. "A new methodology for offshore wind speed assessment integrating Sentinel-1, ERA-Interim and in-situ measurement," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 1301-1313.
    13. Penalba, Markel & Ulazia, Alain & Ibarra-Berastegui, Gabriel & Ringwood, John & Sáenz, Jon, 2018. "Wave energy resource variation off the west coast of Ireland and its impact on realistic wave energy converters’ power absorption," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C), pages 205-219.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Battisti, Beatrice & Giorgi, Giuseppe & Fernandez, Gael Verao, 2024. "Balancing power production and coastal protection: A bi-objective analysis of Wave Energy Converters," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    2. Giorgi, Giuseppe, 2024. "Embedding parametric resonance in a 2:1 wave energy converter to get a broader bandwidth," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ulazia, Alain & Saenz-Aguirre, Aitor & Ibarra-Berastegui, Gabriel & Sáenz, Jon & Carreno-Madinabeitia, Sheila & Esnaola, Ganix, 2023. "Performance variations of wave energy converters due to global long-term wave period change (1900–2010)," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 268(C).
    2. Ulazia, Alain & Esnaola, Ganix & Serras, Paula & Penalba, Markel, 2020. "On the impact of long-term wave trends on the geometry optimisation of oscillating water column wave energy converters," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    3. Penalba, Markel & Ulazia, Alain & Saénz, Jon & Ringwood, John V., 2020. "Impact of long-term resource variations on wave energy Farms: The Icelandic case," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    4. Sun, Peidong & Xu, Bin & Wang, Jichao, 2022. "Long-term trend analysis and wave energy assessment based on ERA5 wave reanalysis along the Chinese coastline," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 324(C).
    5. Sun, Peidong & Wang, Jichao, 2024. "Long-term variability analysis of wave energy resources and its impact on wave energy converters along the Chinese coastline," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    6. Ribeiro, A.S. & deCastro, M. & Costoya, X. & Rusu, Liliana & Dias, J.M. & Gomez-Gesteira, M., 2021. "A Delphi method to classify wave energy resource for the 21st century: Application to the NW Iberian Peninsula," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    7. Arkaitz Rabanal & Alain Ulazia & Gabriel Ibarra-Berastegi & Jon Sáenz & Unai Elosegui, 2018. "MIDAS: A Benchmarking Multi-Criteria Method for the Identification of Defective Anemometers in Wind Farms," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-19, December.
    8. Oscar Garcia & Alain Ulazia & Mario del Rio & Sheila Carreno-Madinabeitia & Andoni Gonzalez-Arceo, 2019. "An Energy Potential Estimation Methodology and Novel Prototype Design for Building-Integrated Wind Turbines," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-21, May.
    9. Ulazia, Alain & Penalba, Markel & Ibarra-Berastegui, Gabriel & Ringwood, John & Sáenz, Jon, 2019. "Reduction of the capture width of wave energy converters due to long-term seasonal wave energy trends," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 1-1.
    10. Coe, Ryan G. & Ahn, Seongho & Neary, Vincent S. & Kobos, Peter H. & Bacelli, Giorgio, 2021. "Maybe less is more: Considering capacity factor, saturation, variability, and filtering effects of wave energy devices," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 291(C).
    11. Orszaghova, J. & Lemoine, S. & Santo, H. & Taylor, P.H. & Kurniawan, A. & McGrath, N. & Zhao, W. & Cuttler, M.V.W., 2022. "Variability of wave power production of the M4 machine at two energetic open ocean locations: Off Albany, Western Australia and at EMEC, Orkney, UK," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 417-431.
    12. Penalba, Markel & Aizpurua, Jose Ignacio & Martinez-Perurena, Ander & Iglesias, Gregorio, 2022. "A data-driven long-term metocean data forecasting approach for the design of marine renewable energy systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    13. Pourali, Mahmoud & Kavianpour, Mohamad Reza & Kamranzad, Bahareh & Alizadeh, Mohamad Javad, 2023. "Future variability of wave energy in the Gulf of Oman using a high resolution CMIP6 climate model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(PB).
    14. Joan Pau Sierra & Ricard Castrillo & Marc Mestres & César Mösso & Piero Lionello & Luigi Marzo, 2020. "Impact of Climate Change on Wave Energy Resource in the Mediterranean Coast of Morocco," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-19, June.
    15. Jahangir, Mohammad Hossein & Hosseini, Seyed Sina & Mehrpooya, Mehdi, 2018. "A detailed theoretical modeling and parametric investigation of potential power in heaving buoys," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 201-209.
    16. Américo S. Ribeiro & Maite deCastro & Liliana Rusu & Mariana Bernardino & João M. Dias & Moncho Gomez-Gesteira, 2020. "Evaluating the Future Efficiency of Wave Energy Converters along the NW Coast of the Iberian Peninsula," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-15, July.
    17. Vázquez, Rubén & Cabos, William & Nieto-Borge, José Carlos & Gutiérrez, Claudia, 2024. "Complementarity of offshore energy resources on the Spanish coasts: Wind, wave, and photovoltaic energy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    18. Choupin, O. & Têtu, A. & Del Río-Gamero, B. & Ferri, F. & Kofoed, JP., 2022. "Premises for an annual energy production and capacity factor improvement towards a few optimised wave energy converters configurations and resources pairs," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 312(C).
    19. Akdemir, Kerem Ziya & Robertson, Bryson & Oikonomou, Konstantinos & Kern, Jordan & Voisin, Nathalie & Hanif, Sarmad & Bhattacharya, Saptarshi, 2023. "Opportunities for wave energy in bulk power system operations," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 352(C).
    20. Masoud, Alaa A., 2022. "On the Nile Fan's wave power potential and controlling factors integrating spectral and geostatistical techniques," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 921-945.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:219:y:2023:i:p1:s0960148123013198. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.