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Pathways to the hydrogen mobility futures in German public transportation: A scenario analysis

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  • Sadik-Zada, Elkhan Richard
  • Santibanez Gonzalez, Ernesto DR
  • Gatto, Andrea
  • Althaus, Tomasz
  • Quliyev, Fuad

Abstract

The present study elaborates on the perspectives of fuel cell electric buses in German public transportation from a purely economic point of view and formulates recommendations for policies in public transportation in Germany. To this end, the study proposes nine valid scenarios and embeds diesel and fuel-cell bus operations into them. The total cost of ownership-based scenario analysis shows that beginning from 2035 fuel cell electric buses will be economically more attractive than diesel buses. The study identifies carbon pricing and subsidization of solar and wind power generation as the central drivers of fuel cell-based public transportation.

Suggested Citation

  • Sadik-Zada, Elkhan Richard & Santibanez Gonzalez, Ernesto DR & Gatto, Andrea & Althaus, Tomasz & Quliyev, Fuad, 2023. "Pathways to the hydrogen mobility futures in German public transportation: A scenario analysis," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 384-392.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:205:y:2023:i:c:p:384-392
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2022.12.087
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Sadik-Zada, Elkhan Richard & Gatto, Andrea & Scharfenstein, Manuel, 2023. "Sustainable management of lithium and green hydrogen and long-run perspectives of electromobility," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 186(PA).
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    8. Ajanovic, A. & Glatt, A. & Haas, R., 2021. "Prospects and impediments for hydrogen fuel cell buses," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    9. Panarello, Demetrio & Gatto, Andrea, 2023. "Decarbonising Europe – EU citizens’ perception of renewable energy transition amidst the European Green Deal," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
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    11. O'Garra, Tanya & Mourato, Susana & Garrity, Lisa & Schmidt, Patrick & Beerenwinkel, Anne & Altmann, Matthias & Hart, David & Graesel, Cornelia & Whitehouse, Simon, 2007. "Is the public willing to pay for hydrogen buses? A comparative study of preferences in four cities," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(7), pages 3630-3642, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Yiqin Lu & Shuang Li, 2023. "Green Transportation Model in Logistics Considering the Carbon Emissions Costs Based on Improved Grey Wolf Algorithm," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-15, July.
    2. Claudiu Vasile Kifor & Niculina Alexandra Grigore, 2023. "Circular Economy Approaches for Electrical and Conventional Vehicles," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-28, April.
    3. Ali, Amjad & Esposito, Luca & Gatto, Andrea, 2023. "Energy transition and public behavior in Italy: A structural equation modeling," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    4. Fan, Lixin & Liu, Yang & Luo, Xiaobing & Tu, Zhengkai & Chan, Siew Hwa, 2023. "Comparison and evaluation of mega watts proton exchange membrane fuel cell combined heat and power system under different waste heat recovery methods," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 295-305.
    5. Mamon Adam Maarof & Dildar Haydar Ahmed & Ahmed Samour, 2023. "Fiscal Policy, Oil Price, Foreign Direct Investment, and Renewable Energy—A Path to Sustainable Development in South Africa," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-16, June.
    6. Yang, Yuyan & Xu, Xiao & Luo, Yichen & Liu, Junyong & Hu, Weihao, 2024. "Distributionally robust planning method for expressway hydrogen refueling station powered by a wind-PV system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    7. Huan, Ning & Yamamoto, Toshiyuki & Sato, Hitomi & Tzioutzios, Dimitrios & Yin, Haohui & Sala, Roser, 2024. "Does accident awareness affect people's risk perception of hydrogen infrastructure and information-seeking behaviour?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 364(C).
    8. Sadik-Zada, Elkhan Richard & Gatto, Andrea & Weißnicht, Yannic, 2024. "Back to the future: Revisiting the perspectives on nuclear fusion and juxtaposition to existing energy sources," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Green hydrogen; Public transport; Fuel cell electric bus; Diesel bus;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • N7 - Economic History - - Economic History: Transport, International and Domestic Trade, Energy, and Other Services
    • Q42 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Alternative Energy Sources
    • R4 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics

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