IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v191y2022icp261-277.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impact analysis of COVID-19 pandemic on the future green power sector: A case study in the Netherlands

Author

Listed:
  • Luo, Shihua
  • Hu, Weihao
  • Liu, Wen
  • Cao, Di
  • Du, Yuefang
  • Zhang, Zhenyuan
  • Chen, Zhe

Abstract

The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic has brought significant changes to the power sector. This study proposes general and coherent methodological steps to explore the future impact of lockdown measures on the power sector. In a case study from the Netherlands, two lockdown levels were defined and simulated to identify the influence of the pandemic upon the sector. Moreover, four renewable scenarios were developed to represent the green transition of the Netherlands' power sector up to 2035. For this future power sector, the results show that the green transition can achieve a reduction of 65% in CO2 emissions and 20% in power sector cost. Under the implementation of a simulated lockdown level, electricity demand decreased by 6.3% under Level 1 and 11.9% under Level 2 in 2035. The influences of lockdowns on future power sectors differ with respect to scenario. In addition, Lockdown Level 1 leads to a reduction of 8–12% in emissions and a reduction of 6–8% in cost, and Lockdown Level 2 expands this reduction to 15–21% in emissions and 11–13% in cost. The findings of this exploratory study can elucidate what may happen in the future green power sector if such event arises.

Suggested Citation

  • Luo, Shihua & Hu, Weihao & Liu, Wen & Cao, Di & Du, Yuefang & Zhang, Zhenyuan & Chen, Zhe, 2022. "Impact analysis of COVID-19 pandemic on the future green power sector: A case study in the Netherlands," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 261-277.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:191:y:2022:i:c:p:261-277
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2022.04.053
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148122005146
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2022.04.053?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/11505qn4ak95irt0cafaeim81j is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Aktar, Asikha & Alam, Md. Mahmudul & Al-Amin, Abul Quasem, 2021. "Global Economic Crisis, Energy Use, CO2 Emissions and Policy Roadmap amid COVID-19," OSF Preprints 69kje, Center for Open Science.
    3. Shah, Muhammad Ibrahim & Kirikkaleli, Dervis & Adedoyin, Festus Fatai, 2021. "Regime switching effect of COVID-19 pandemic on renewable electricity generation in Denmark," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 797-806.
    4. Hoang, Anh Tuan & Sandro Nižetić, & Olcer, Aykut I. & Ong, Hwai Chyuan & Chen, Wei-Hsin & Chong, Cheng Tung & Thomas, Sabu & Bandh, Suhaib A. & Nguyen, Xuan Phuong, 2021. "Impacts of COVID-19 pandemic on the global energy system and the shift progress to renewable energy: Opportunities, challenges, and policy implications," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    5. Choe, Do-Eun & Kim, Hyoung-Chul & Kim, Moo-Hyun, 2021. "Sequence-based modeling of deep learning with LSTM and GRU networks for structural damage detection of floating offshore wind turbine blades," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 218-235.
    6. Zang, Haixiang & Liu, Ling & Sun, Li & Cheng, Lilin & Wei, Zhinong & Sun, Guoqiang, 2020. "Short-term global horizontal irradiance forecasting based on a hybrid CNN-LSTM model with spatiotemporal correlations," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 26-41.
    7. Bulavskaya, Tatyana & Reynès, Frédéric, 2018. "Job creation and economic impact of renewable energy in the Netherlands," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 528-538.
    8. Sahoo, Somadutta & van Stralen, Joost N.P. & Zuidema, Christian & Sijm, Jos & Yamu, Claudia & Faaij, André, 2022. "Regionalization of a national integrated energy system model: A case study of the northern Netherlands," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PB).
    9. Londo, Marc & Matton, Robin & Usmani, Omar & van Klaveren, Marieke & Tigchelaar, Casper & Brunsting, Suzanne, 2020. "Alternatives for current net metering policy for solar PV in the Netherlands: A comparison of impacts on business case and purchasing behaviour of private homeowners, and on governmental costs," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 147(P1), pages 903-915.
    10. Tatyana Bulavskaya & Frédéric Reynés, 2018. "Job creation and economic impact of renewable energy in Netherlands," Post-Print hal-03458307, HAL.
    11. Xie, Yiwei & Hu, Pingfang & Zhu, Na & Lei, Fei & Xing, Lu & Xu, Linghong & Sun, Qiming, 2020. "A hybrid short-term load forecasting model and its application in ground source heat pump with cooling storage system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 1244-1259.
    12. Heffron, Raphael J. & Körner, Marc-Fabian & Schöpf, Michael & Wagner, Jonathan & Weibelzahl, Martin, 2021. "The role of flexibility in the light of the COVID-19 pandemic and beyond: Contributing to a sustainable and resilient energy future in Europe," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    13. Werth, Annette & Gravino, Pietro & Prevedello, Giulio, 2021. "Impact analysis of COVID-19 responses on energy grid dynamics in Europe," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 281(C).
    14. Shekhar, Jai & Suri, Dhruv & Somani, Priyanshi & Lee, Stephen J. & Arora, Mahika, 2021. "Reduced renewable energy stability in India following COVID-19: Insights and key policy recommendations," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    15. Hemrit, Wael & Benlagha, Noureddine, 2021. "Does renewable energy index respond to the pandemic uncertainty?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 336-347.
    16. Huang, Xiaoqiao & Li, Qiong & Tai, Yonghang & Chen, Zaiqing & Zhang, Jun & Shi, Junsheng & Gao, Bixuan & Liu, Wuming, 2021. "Hybrid deep neural model for hourly solar irradiance forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 1041-1060.
    17. Jiang, Peng & Fan, Yee Van & Klemeš, Jiří Jaromír, 2021. "Impacts of COVID-19 on energy demand and consumption: Challenges, lessons and emerging opportunities," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
    18. Groth, Tanja & Scholtens, Bert, 2016. "A comparison of cost-benefit analysis of biomass and natural gas CHP projects in Denmark and the Netherlands," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 1095-1102.
    19. Askeland, Kristine & Bozhkova, Kristina N. & Sorknæs, Peter, 2019. "Balancing Europe: Can district heating affect the flexibility potential of Norwegian hydropower resources?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 646-656.
    20. Østergaard, Poul Alberg & Jantzen, Jan & Marczinkowski, Hannah Mareike & Kristensen, Michael, 2019. "Business and socioeconomic assessment of introducing heat pumps with heat storage in small-scale district heating systems," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 904-914.
    21. Doepfert, Markus & Castro, Rui, 2021. "Techno-economic optimization of a 100% renewable energy system in 2050 for countries with high shares of hydropower: The case of Portugal," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(P1), pages 491-503.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Østergaard, P.A. & Lund, H. & Thellufsen, J.Z. & Sorknæs, P. & Mathiesen, B.V., 2022. "Review and validation of EnergyPLAN," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    2. Behnam Zakeri & Katsia Paulavets & Leonardo Barreto-Gomez & Luis Gomez Echeverri & Shonali Pachauri & Benigna Boza-Kiss & Caroline Zimm & Joeri Rogelj & Felix Creutzig & Diana Ürge-Vorsatz & David G. , 2022. "Pandemic, War, and Global Energy Transitions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-23, August.
    3. Diana-Mihaela Jula, 2022. "Renewable Energy during the Pandemic Crisis," Global Economic Observer, "Nicolae Titulescu" University of Bucharest, Faculty of Economic Sciences;Institute for World Economy of the Romanian Academy, vol. 10(1), pages 34-48, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Indre Siksnelyte-Butkiene, 2021. "Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic to the Sustainability of the Energy Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-19, November.
    2. Østergaard, P.A. & Lund, H. & Thellufsen, J.Z. & Sorknæs, P. & Mathiesen, B.V., 2022. "Review and validation of EnergyPLAN," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    3. Costa, Vinicius B.F. & Pereira, Lígia C. & Andrade, Jorge V.B. & Bonatto, Benedito D., 2022. "Future assessment of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the electricity market based on a stochastic socioeconomic model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 313(C).
    4. Vicente Javier Clemente-Suárez & Stephanie Rodriguez-Besteiro & Juan José Cabello-Eras & Alvaro Bustamante-Sanchez & Eduardo Navarro-Jiménez & Macarena Donoso-Gonzalez & Ana Isabel Beltrán-Velasco & J, 2022. "Sustainable Development Goals in the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Narrative Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-26, June.
    5. Diana-Mihaela Jula, 2022. "Renewable Energy during the Pandemic Crisis," Global Economic Observer, "Nicolae Titulescu" University of Bucharest, Faculty of Economic Sciences;Institute for World Economy of the Romanian Academy, vol. 10(1), pages 34-48, June.
    6. Tomasz Wołowiec & Iuliia Myroshnychenko & Ihor Vakulenko & Sylwester Bogacki & Anna Maria Wiśniewska & Svitlana Kolosok & Vitaliy Yunger, 2022. "International Impact of COVID-19 on Energy Economics and Environmental Pollution: A Scoping Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    7. Iryna Sotnyk & Tetiana Kurbatova & Oleksandr Kubatko & Olha Prokopenko & Gunnar Prause & Yevhen Kovalenko & Galyna Trypolska & Uliana Pysmenna, 2021. "Energy Security Assessment of Emerging Economies under Global and Local Challenges," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-20, September.
    8. Georgeta Soava & Anca Mehedintu & Mihaela Sterpu & Eugenia Grecu, 2021. "The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth in Romania," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-25, April.
    9. Lazo, Joaquín & Aguirre, Gerson & Watts, David, 2022. "An impact study of COVID-19 on the electricity sector: A comprehensive literature review and Ibero-American survey," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    10. Małgorzata Sztorc, 2022. "The Implementation of the European Green Deal Strategy as a Challenge for Energy Management in the Face of the COVID-19 Pandemic," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-21, April.
    11. Tomasz Rokicki & Radosław Jadczak & Adam Kucharski & Piotr Bórawski & Aneta Bełdycka-Bórawska & András Szeberényi & Aleksandra Perkowska, 2022. "Changes in Energy Consumption and Energy Intensity in EU Countries as a Result of the COVID-19 Pandemic by Sector and Area Economy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-26, August.
    12. Østergaard, Poul Alberg & Andersen, Anders N., 2021. "Variable taxes promoting district heating heat pump flexibility," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    13. Yidan Chen & Jiang Lin & David Roland-Holst & Xu Liu & Can Wang, 2023. "Declining Renewable Costs, Emissions Trading, and Economic Growth: China’s Power System at the Crossroads," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-14, January.
    14. Cerqueira, Pedro André & Pereira da Silva, Patrícia, 2023. "Assessment of the impact of COVID-19 lockdown measures on electricity consumption – Evidence from Portugal and Spain," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    15. Feng, Gen-Fu & Zheng, Mingbo, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and renewable energy innovation: International evidence," Innovation and Green Development, Elsevier, vol. 1(2).
    16. Hoang, Anh Tuan & Sandro Nižetić, & Olcer, Aykut I. & Ong, Hwai Chyuan & Chen, Wei-Hsin & Chong, Cheng Tung & Thomas, Sabu & Bandh, Suhaib A. & Nguyen, Xuan Phuong, 2021. "Impacts of COVID-19 pandemic on the global energy system and the shift progress to renewable energy: Opportunities, challenges, and policy implications," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    17. Ekinci, Esra & Mangla, Sachin Kumar & Kazancoglu, Yigit & Sarma, P.R.S. & Sezer, Muruvvet Deniz & Ozbiltekin-Pala, Melisa, 2022. "Resilience and complexity measurement for energy efficient global supply chains in disruptive events," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    18. Piotr Bórawski & Aneta Bełdycka-Bórawska & Lisa Holden & Tomasz Rokicki, 2022. "The Role of Renewable Energy Sources in Electricity Production in Poland and the Background of Energy Policy of the European Union at the Beginning of the COVID-19 Crisis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-17, November.
    19. Chong, Cheng Tung & Fan, Yee Van & Lee, Chew Tin & Klemeš, Jiří Jaromír, 2022. "Post COVID-19 ENERGY sustainability and carbon emissions neutrality," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    20. Xu, Shaozhen & Liu, Jun & Huang, Xiaoqiao & Li, Chengli & Chen, Zaiqing & Tai, Yonghang, 2024. "Minutely multi-step irradiance forecasting based on all-sky images using LSTM-InformerStack hybrid model with dual feature enhancement," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:191:y:2022:i:c:p:261-277. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.