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Impacts of climate change on wind energy power – Four wind farms in Spain

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  • Solaun, Kepa
  • Cerdá, Emilio

Abstract

There is a growing interest on how climate change may affect the energy sector, including changes in wind energy generation. This paper builds on existing research adding an economic component that considers how climate change can affect operating margins and investment values in specific wind farms in Spain. A projection of wind speed was carried out using an ensemble of three climate models, two scenarios (RCP 4.5 and 8.5) and two time periods (2018–2041 and 2042–2065) per plant. Using historical power curves, the changes in wind speed were converted to production output. The results show variations in production of up to 8% and changes in operating margins up to 10%. Seasonal generation may fluctuate as well, with an increase in summer and decrease in winter. An investment analysis was also conducted to consider how climate change may influence future developments in the sector.

Suggested Citation

  • Solaun, Kepa & Cerdá, Emilio, 2020. "Impacts of climate change on wind energy power – Four wind farms in Spain," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 1306-1316.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:145:y:2020:i:c:p:1306-1316
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2019.06.129
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. J Charles Rajesh Kumar & D Vinod Kumar & D Baskar & B Mary Arunsi & R Jenova & MA Majid, 2021. "Offshore wind energy status, challenges, opportunities, environmental impacts, occupational health, and safety management in India," Energy & Environment, , vol. 32(4), pages 565-603, June.
    2. Cheng, Xu & Yan, Bowen & Zhou, Xuhong & Yang, Qingshan & Huang, Guoqing & Su, Yanwen & Yang, Wei & Jiang, Yan, 2024. "Wind resource assessment at mountainous wind farm: Fusion of RANS and vertical multi-point on-site measured wind field data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 363(C).
    3. He, J.Y. & Li, Q.S. & Chan, P.W. & Zhao, X.D., 2023. "Assessment of future wind resources under climate change using a multi-model and multi-method ensemble approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 329(C).
    4. Justė Jankevičienė & Arvydas Kanapickas, 2021. "Projected Near-Surface Wind Speed Trends in Lithuania," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-13, August.
    5. Yücenur, G. Nilay & Ipekçi, Ahmet, 2021. "SWARA/WASPAS methods for a marine current energy plant location selection problem," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 1287-1298.
    6. Kumarasamy Palanimuthu & Ganesh Mayilsamy & Ameerkhan Abdul Basheer & Seong-Ryong Lee & Dongran Song & Young Hoon Joo, 2022. "A Review of Recent Aerodynamic Power Extraction Challenges in Coordinated Pitch, Yaw, and Torque Control of Large-Scale Wind Turbine Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(21), pages 1-27, November.
    7. Zhuo, Chen & Junhong, Guo & Wei, Li & Fei, Zhang & Chan, Xiao & Zhangrong, Pan, 2022. "Changes in wind energy potential over China using a regional climate model ensemble," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    8. Gao, Jianwei & Meng, Qichen & Liu, Jiangtao & Wang, Ziying, 2024. "Thermoelectric optimization of integrated energy system considering wind-photovoltaic uncertainty, two-stage power-to-gas and ladder-type carbon trading," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).

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