IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v111y2017icp63-76.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A CRO-species optimization scheme for robust global solar radiation statistical downscaling

Author

Listed:
  • Salcedo-Sanz, S.
  • Jiménez-Fernández, S.
  • Aybar-Ruiz, A.
  • Casanova-Mateo, C.
  • Sanz-Justo, J.
  • García-Herrera, R.

Abstract

This paper tackles the prediction of the global solar radiation (GSR) at a given point, using as predictive variables the outputs of a numerical weather model (the WRF meso-scale model) obtained at a different grid points. Prediction is obtained in this work using a Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) trained with Extreme Learning Machines (ELMs). Provided that the number of WRF outputs is vast, we propose the use of a Coral Reefs Optimization algorithm with species (CRO-SP) to obtain a reduced number of significant predictive variables, therefore improving the global solar radiation prediction attained without feature selection. The proposed system has been tested on real data from a radiometric station located at Toledo (Spain) and average best results of RMSE of 69.19 W/m2 have been achieved, resulting in a 21.62% improvement over the average prediction without considering the CRO-SP for the feature selection.

Suggested Citation

  • Salcedo-Sanz, S. & Jiménez-Fernández, S. & Aybar-Ruiz, A. & Casanova-Mateo, C. & Sanz-Justo, J. & García-Herrera, R., 2017. "A CRO-species optimization scheme for robust global solar radiation statistical downscaling," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 63-76.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:111:y:2017:i:c:p:63-76
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2017.03.079
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148117302707
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2017.03.079?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Salcedo-Sanz, S. & Cornejo-Bueno, L. & Prieto, L. & Paredes, D. & García-Herrera, R., 2018. "Feature selection in machine learning prediction systems for renewable energy applications," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 728-741.
    2. Salcedo-Sanz, Sancho & Deo, Ravinesh C. & Cornejo-Bueno, Laura & Camacho-Gómez, Carlos & Ghimire, Sujan, 2018. "An efficient neuro-evolutionary hybrid modelling mechanism for the estimation of daily global solar radiation in the Sunshine State of Australia," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 209(C), pages 79-94.
    3. Ghimire, Sujan & Deo, Ravinesh C. & Casillas-Pérez, David & Salcedo-Sanz, Sancho, 2022. "Boosting solar radiation predictions with global climate models, observational predictors and hybrid deep-machine learning algorithms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 316(C).
    4. Yao, Wanxiang & Zhang, Chunxiao & Hao, Haodong & Wang, Xiao & Li, Xianli, 2018. "A support vector machine approach to estimate global solar radiation with the influence of fog and haze," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 128(PA), pages 155-162.
    5. Takahiro Takamatsu & Hideaki Ohtake & Takashi Oozeki, 2022. "Support Vector Quantile Regression for the Post-Processing of Meso-Scale Ensemble Prediction System Data in the Kanto Region: Solar Power Forecast Reducing Overestimation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-18, February.
    6. Salcedo-Sanz, S. & García-Herrera, R. & Camacho-Gómez, C. & Aybar-Ruíz, A. & Alexandre, E., 2018. "Wind power field reconstruction from a reduced set of representative measuring points," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 1111-1121.
    7. Amir Mosavi & Mohsen Salimi & Sina Faizollahzadeh Ardabili & Timon Rabczuk & Shahaboddin Shamshirband & Annamaria R. Varkonyi-Koczy, 2019. "State of the Art of Machine Learning Models in Energy Systems, a Systematic Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-42, April.
    8. Ghimire, Sujan & Deo, Ravinesh C. & Casillas-Pérez, David & Salcedo-Sanz, Sancho, 2022. "Improved Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise Deep Residual model for short-term multi-step solar radiation prediction," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 408-424.
    9. Kılıç, Fatih & Yılmaz, İbrahim Halil & Kaya, Özge, 2021. "Adaptive co-optimization of artificial neural networks using evolutionary algorithm for global radiation forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 176-190.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:111:y:2017:i:c:p:63-76. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.