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The influence of the main large-scale circulation patterns on wind power production in Portugal

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  • Correia, J.M.
  • Bastos, A.
  • Brito, M.C.
  • Trigo, R.M.

Abstract

Renewable energy production is known to present variability on several time-scales. The large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns influence the anomalies of relevant climate variables for energy production, such as wind speed and direction or solar radiation, from sub-seasonal to multi-decadal time-scales. This work aims at evaluating the link between large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns and monthly wind power resource and production in Portugal. The three climate modes under focus are the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the East Atlantic Pattern (EA) and the Scandinavian Pattern (SCAND), which are considered the most relevant large-scale circulation patterns for the climate of Southwestern Europe. The impact of each of the three climate variability modes and their combined effect on wind power resource on monthly and annual wind energy production is assessed, using both meteorological station data and wind power generation in Continental Portugal.

Suggested Citation

  • Correia, J.M. & Bastos, A. & Brito, M.C. & Trigo, R.M., 2017. "The influence of the main large-scale circulation patterns on wind power production in Portugal," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 102(PA), pages 214-223.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:102:y:2017:i:pa:p:214-223
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2016.10.002
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    2. Couto, António & Estanqueiro, Ana, 2022. "Enhancing wind power forecast accuracy using the weather research and forecasting numerical model-based features and artificial neuronal networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 201(P1), pages 1076-1085.
    3. António Couto & Paula Costa & Teresa Simões, 2021. "Identification of Extreme Wind Events Using a Weather Type Classification," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-16, July.
    4. Garrido-Perez, Jose M. & Ordóñez, Carlos & Barriopedro, David & García-Herrera, Ricardo & Paredes, Daniel, 2020. "Impact of weather regimes on wind power variability in western Europe," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 264(C).
    5. Figueiredo, Raquel & Nunes, Pedro & Brito, Miguel C., 2018. "Multiyear calibration of simulations of energy systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 932-939.
    6. Bedassa R. Cheneka & Simon J. Watson & Sukanta Basu, 2021. "Associating Synoptic-Scale Weather Patterns with Aggregated Offshore Wind Power Production and Ramps," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-14, June.

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