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Induced earthquakes and housing markets: Evidence from Oklahoma

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  • Cheung, Ron
  • Wetherell, Daniel
  • Whitaker, Stephan

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of earthquakes on residential property values using sales data from Oklahoma from 2006 to 2014. Before 2010, Oklahoma had only a couple of earthquakes per year that were strong enough to be felt by residents. Since 2010, seismic activity has increased, bringing potentially damaging quakes several times each year and perceptible quakes every few days. Using repeat-sales and difference-in-differences models, we estimate that prices decline by 3–4 percent after a home has experienced a moderate earthquake measuring 4 or 5 on the Modified Mercalli Intensity Scale. Prices can decline 9 percent or more after a potentially damaging earthquake with intensity above 6. We also find significant increases in the time-on-market after earthquake exposures. Our findings are consistent with the experience of an earthquake revealing a new disamenity and risk that is then capitalized into house values.

Suggested Citation

  • Cheung, Ron & Wetherell, Daniel & Whitaker, Stephan, 2018. "Induced earthquakes and housing markets: Evidence from Oklahoma," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 153-166.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:regeco:v:69:y:2018:i:c:p:153-166
    DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2018.01.004
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    2. Li, Yunmeng, 2024. "Do natural disaster affect rural labor migration? Evidence from the Wenchuan earthquake in China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 996-1006.
    3. Giuliano Masiero & Michael Santarossa, 2020. "Earthquakes, grants, and public expenditure: How municipalities respond to natural disasters," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(3), pages 481-516, June.
    4. Nicolás Durán & J. Paul Elhorst, 2023. "Induced earthquakes and house prices: the role of spatiotemporal and global effects," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 25(2), pages 157-183, April.
    5. Mizuki Kawabata & Michio Naoi & Shohei Yasuda, 2022. "Earthquake risk reduction and residential land prices in Tokyo," Journal of Spatial Econometrics, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 1-21, December.
    6. Andrew Tracy & Amy Javernick-Will & Abbie Liel, 2022. "Factors influencing public beliefs regarding the cause of induced earthquakes," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 114(1), pages 183-204, October.
    7. Duran, Nicolas & Elhorst, J. Paul, 2017. "A Spatio-temporal-similarity and Common Factor Approach of Individual Housing Prices," Research Report 2018007-EEF, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management).
    8. Nicholas Apergis & Sayantan Ghosh Dastidar & Ghulam Mustafa, 2021. "Fracking and Asset Prices: The Role of Health Indicators for House Prices Across Oklahoma’s Counties," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 154(2), pages 583-602, April.
    9. Wesley Burnett, J. & Mothorpe, Christopher, 2021. "Human-induced earthquakes, risk salience, and housing values," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    10. Liu, Yanan & Tang, Yugang, 2021. "Epidemic shocks and housing price responses: Evidence from China's urban residential communities," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    11. Ferreira, Susana & Liu, Haiyan & Brewer, Brady, 2018. "The housing market impacts of wastewater injection induced seismicity risk," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 251-269.
    12. Andrew Tracy & Amy Javernick-Will, 2020. "Credible Sources of Information Regarding Induced Seismicity," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-19, March.
    13. De, Prabal K. & Thamarapani, Dhanushka, 2022. "Impacts of negative shocks on wellbeing and aspirations – Evidence from an earthquake," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    14. John V. Winters & Zhengyu Cai & Karen Maguire & Shruti Sengupta, 2021. "Causal effects of the fracking boom on long‐term resident workers," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(2), pages 387-406, March.
    15. Belloc, Ignacio, 2024. "Family house prices in the US: Convergence clubs by county (1975-2022)," MPRA Paper 121487, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Giuliano Masiero & Michael Santarossa, 2019. "Earthquakes, grants and public expenditure: how municipalities respond to natural disasters," IdEP Economic Papers 1901, USI Università della Svizzera italiana.
    17. Bełej, Mirosław & Cellmer, Radosław & Foryś, Iwona & Głuszak, Michał, 2023. "Airports in the urban landscape: externalities, stigmatization and housing market," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    18. Muehlenbachs, Lucija & Staubli, Stefan & Chu, Ziyan, 2021. "The accident externality from trucking: Evidence from shale gas development," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Earthquakes; Housing markets; Repeat sales;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q51 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Valuation of Environmental Effects
    • Q53 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Air Pollution; Water Pollution; Noise; Hazardous Waste; Solid Waste; Recycling
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

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