IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v253y2025ics0951832024005635.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A reliability-based design optimization strategy using quantile surrogates by improved PC-kriging

Author

Listed:
  • Chen, Junhua
  • Chen, Zhiqun
  • Jiang, Wei
  • Guo, Hun
  • Chen, Longmiao

Abstract

In recent years, the surrogate-assisted reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) methods have been continuously developed, and numerous advanced optimization strategies have boosted efficiency and accuracy. However, ensuring sufficient accuracy and feasibility at the optimal is still a challenge. In order to achieve a well-balanced between efficiency, accuracy, and optimal feasibility, in this work, a RBDO strategy using quantile surrogates by improved PC-Kriging model is proposed. The novelty of the proposed method lies in the following main aspects: Firstly, an improved learning function has been developed to significantly enhance the convergence efficiency during the construction of the PC-Kriging model. Secondly, in the RBDO analysis process, a novel "MP+EI" combination point addition strategy is adopted to enhance the approximation of the surrogate model to the optimum of the objective function. It can further improve optimization efficiency and accuracy. On the basis of the rough probability constrained surrogate model established by the global enrichment strategy, a local refinement strategy is introduced to guarantee the accuracy of the quantile evaluation of the probability constrained surrogate model for each iteration solution during the optimization process. Finally, the proposed method is validated by three typical RBDO test examples and one engineering application example.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, Junhua & Chen, Zhiqun & Jiang, Wei & Guo, Hun & Chen, Longmiao, 2025. "A reliability-based design optimization strategy using quantile surrogates by improved PC-kriging," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:253:y:2025:i:c:s0951832024005635
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2024.110491
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832024005635
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2024.110491?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ma, Yuan-Zhuo & Jin, Xiang-Xiang & Wu, Xi-Long & Xu, Chang & Li, Hong-Shuang & Zhao, Zhen-Zhou, 2023. "Reliability-based design optimization using adaptive Kriging-A single-loop strategy and a double-loop one," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    2. Zhao, Zhao & Zhao, Yan-Gang & Li, Pei-Pei, 2023. "A novel decoupled time-variant reliability-based design optimization approach by improved extreme value moment method," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    3. Zhang, Jinhao & Xiao, Mi & Gao, Liang, 2019. "An active learning reliability method combining Kriging constructed with exploration and exploitation of failure region and subset simulation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 90-102.
    4. Torii, A.J. & Lopez, R.H. & Miguel, L.F.F., 2019. "A second order SAP algorithm for risk and reliability based design optimization," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 1-1.
    5. Shirgir, Sina & Shamsaddinlou, Amir & Zare, Reza Najafi & Zehtabiyan, Sorour & Bonab, Masoud Hajialilue, 2023. "An efficient double-loop reliability-based optimization with metaheuristic algorithms to design soil nail walls under uncertain condition," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    6. Chunyan, Ling & Jingzhe, Lei & Way, Kuo, 2022. "Bayesian support vector machine for optimal reliability design of modular systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    7. Jiang, Xia & Lu, Zhenzhou, 2024. "A novel quantile-based sequential optimization and reliability assessment method for safety life analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    8. Yang, Meide & Zhang, Dequan & Jiang, Chao & Han, Xu & Li, Qing, 2021. "A hybrid adaptive Kriging-based single loop approach for complex reliability-based design optimization problems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    9. Allahvirdizadeh, R. & Andersson, A. & Karoumi, R., 2023. "Improved dynamic design method of ballasted high-speed railway bridges using surrogate-assisted reliability-based design optimization of dependent variables," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 238(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wang, Xiaoping & Zhao, Wei & Chen, Yangyang & Li, Xueyan, 2024. "A novel performance measure approach for reliability-based design optimization with adaptive Barzilai-Borwein steps," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).
    2. Hu, Huanhuan & Wang, Pan & Xin, Fukang & Zhang, Lei & Yang, Weizhu & Li, Lei, 2024. "Hybrid adaptive moment estimation based performance measure approach for complex reliability-based design optimization," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
    3. Lai, Xiongming & Yang, Tao & Zhang, Yong & Wang, Cheng & Liao, Shuirong & Zeng, Xianbiao & Zhang, Xiaodong, 2025. "A new hybrid inverse reliability method for searching MPTP and its application in reliability-based design optimization," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
    4. Song, Zhouzhou & Zhang, Hanyu & Liu, Zhao & Zhu, Ping, 2023. "A two-stage Kriging estimation variance reduction method for efficient time-variant reliability-based design optimization," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    5. Jiang, Xia & Lu, Zhenzhou, 2024. "A novel quantile-based sequential optimization and reliability assessment method for safety life analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    6. Van Huynh, Thu & Tangaramvong, Sawekchai & Do, Bach & Gao, Wei & Limkatanyu, Suchart, 2023. "Sequential most probable point update combining Gaussian process and comprehensive learning PSO for structural reliability-based design optimization," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    7. Wang, Yanzhong & Xie, Bin & E, Shiyuan, 2022. "Adaptive relevance vector machine combined with Markov-chain-based importance sampling for reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    8. Li, Xiaoke & Zhu, Heng & Chen, Zhenzhong & Ming, Wuyi & Cao, Yang & He, Wenbin & Ma, Jun, 2022. "Limit state Kriging modeling for reliability-based design optimization through classification uncertainty quantification," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    9. Yu, Shui & Wu, Xiao & Zhao, Dongyu & Li, Yun, 2024. "A two-level surrogate framework for demand-objective time-variant reliability-based design optimization," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    10. Jiang, Zhiyuan & Huang, Xianzhen & Wang, Bingxiang & Liao, Xin & Liu, Huizhen & Ding, Pengfei, 2024. "Time-dependent reliability-based design optimization of main shaft bearings in wind turbines involving mixed-integer variables," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    11. Zhang, Xiaobo & Lu, Zhenzhou & Cheng, Kai, 2021. "Reliability index function approximation based on adaptive double-loop Kriging for reliability-based design optimization," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    12. Nan, Hang & Liang, Hao & Di, Haoyuan & Li, Hongshuang, 2024. "A gradient-assisted learning strategy of Kriging model for robust design optimization," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    13. Li, Bingyi & Jia, Xiang & Long, Jiahui, 2024. "AK–TSAGL: A two-stage hybrid algorithm combining global exploration and local exploitation based on active learning for structural reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).
    14. Ling, Chunyan & Lu, Zhenzhou & Zhang, Xiaobo, 2020. "An efficient method based on AK-MCS for estimating failure probability function," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    15. Wei, Pengfei & Zheng, Yu & Fu, Jiangfeng & Xu, Yuannan & Gao, Weikai, 2023. "An expected integrated error reduction function for accelerating Bayesian active learning of failure probability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    16. Huang, Peng & Li, He & Gu, Yingkui & Qiu, Guangqi, 2024. "An extended moment-based trajectory accuracy reliability analysis method of robot manipulators with random and interval uncertainties," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    17. Yang, Meide & Zhang, Dequan & Jiang, Chao & Han, Xu & Li, Qing, 2021. "A hybrid adaptive Kriging-based single loop approach for complex reliability-based design optimization problems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    18. Shang, Xiaobing & Su, Li & Fang, Hai & Zeng, Bowen & Zhang, Zhi, 2023. "An efficient multi-fidelity Kriging surrogate model-based method for global sensitivity analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    19. Rocchetta, Roberto & Crespo, Luis G., 2021. "A scenario optimization approach to reliability-based and risk-based design: Soft-constrained modulation of failure probability bounds," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    20. Dhulipala, Somayajulu L.N. & Shields, Michael D. & Chakroborty, Promit & Jiang, Wen & Spencer, Benjamin W. & Hales, Jason D. & Labouré, Vincent M. & Prince, Zachary M. & Bolisetti, Chandrakanth & Che, 2022. "Reliability estimation of an advanced nuclear fuel using coupled active learning, multifidelity modeling, and subset simulation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:253:y:2025:i:c:s0951832024005635. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.