IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v237y2023ics0951832023002521.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Probabilistic residual strength assessment of smart composite aircraft panels using guided waves

Author

Listed:
  • Giannakeas, Ilias N.
  • Mazaheri, Fatemeh
  • Bacarreza, Omar
  • Khodaei, Zahra Sharif
  • Aliabadi, Ferri M.H.

Abstract

Typical prognosis methods in Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) link the degradation mechanisms to the extracted health indicators. Such approaches however do not provide estimations on the current strength loss when a new damage is detected. This study presents a framework that enables the SHM-informed asset integrity management of composites. First, the integrated guided wave based SHM system is used to inform on the existence, location and size of the damage and subsequently, the residual strength of the structure is predicted. The framework combines physics-based and data-driven models to mitigate the incompleteness of the former and address issues relating to the representativeness in the training datasets of the later. Detailed finite element models are used to create a digital representation of the structure while a building-block program is initiated to quantify and propagate the uncertainties observed experimentally. A 1.6Â m composite panel with a skin-stringer delamination, equipped with a network of 24 piezoelectric transducers, is used as a case study to demonstrate the prognostic capabilities of the framework. The framework estimated the damage size with a mean absolute percent error (MAPE) of approximately 10% while the residual strength of a destructively tested damaged panel was predicted with a MAPE of 5%.

Suggested Citation

  • Giannakeas, Ilias N. & Mazaheri, Fatemeh & Bacarreza, Omar & Khodaei, Zahra Sharif & Aliabadi, Ferri M.H., 2023. "Probabilistic residual strength assessment of smart composite aircraft panels using guided waves," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:237:y:2023:i:c:s0951832023002521
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2023.109338
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832023002521
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2023.109338?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chen, Jian & Yuan, Shenfang & Sbarufatti, Claudio & Jin, Xin, 2021. "Dual crack growth prognosis by using a mixture proposal particle filter and on-line crack monitoring," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    2. He, Wenbin & Mao, Jianxu & Song, Kai & Li, Zhe & Su, Yulong & Wang, Yaonan & Pan, Xiangcheng, 2023. "Structural performance prediction based on the digital twin model: A battery bracket example," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    3. Arias Chao, Manuel & Kulkarni, Chetan & Goebel, Kai & Fink, Olga, 2022. "Fusing physics-based and deep learning models for prognostics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    4. Eleftheroglou, Nick & Zarouchas, Dimitrios & Loutas, Theodoros & Alderliesten, Rene & Benedictus, Rinze, 2018. "Structural health monitoring data fusion for in-situ life prognosis of composite structures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 40-54.
    5. Hu, Yang & Miao, Xuewen & Si, Yong & Pan, Ershun & Zio, Enrico, 2022. "Prognostics and health management: A review from the perspectives of design, development and decision," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    6. Xu, Zhaoyi & Saleh, Joseph Homer, 2021. "Machine learning for reliability engineering and safety applications: Review of current status and future opportunities," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    7. Meissner, Robert & Rahn, Antonia & Wicke, Kai, 2021. "Developing prescriptive maintenance strategies in the aviation industry based on a discrete-event simulation framework for post-prognostics decision making," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    8. Yeter, B. & Garbatov, Y. & Guedes Soares, C., 2022. "Life-extension classification of offshore wind assets using unsupervised machine learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    9. Higdon, Dave & Gattiker, James & Williams, Brian & Rightley, Maria, 2008. "Computer Model Calibration Using High-Dimensional Output," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 103, pages 570-583, June.
    10. Ma, Zhonghai & Liao, Haitao & Gao, Jianhang & Nie, Songlin & Geng, Yugang, 2023. "Physics-Informed Machine Learning for Degradation Modeling of an Electro-Hydrostatic Actuator System," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    11. Andrius Vabalas & Emma Gowen & Ellen Poliakoff & Alexander J Casson, 2019. "Machine learning algorithm validation with a limited sample size," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(11), pages 1-20, November.
    12. VanDerHorn, Eric & Wang, Zhenghua & Mahadevan, Sankaran, 2022. "Towards a digital twin approach for vessel-specific fatigue damage monitoring and prognosis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    13. Saraygord Afshari, Sajad & Enayatollahi, Fatemeh & Xu, Xiangyang & Liang, Xihui, 2022. "Machine learning-based methods in structural reliability analysis: A review," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lu, Ning & Li, Yan-Feng & Mi, Jinhua & Huang, Hong-Zhong, 2024. "AMFGP: An active learning reliability analysis method based on multi-fidelity Gaussian process surrogate model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Khakifirooz, Marzieh & Fathi, Michel & Lee, I-Chen & Tseng, Sheng-Tsaing, 2023. "Neural ordinary differential equation for sequential optimal design of fatigue test under accelerated life test analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    2. Cao, Bohan & Yin, Qishuai & Guo, Yingying & Yang, Jin & Zhang, Laibin & Wang, Zhenquan & Tyagi, Mayank & Sun, Ting & Zhou, Xu, 2023. "Field data analysis and risk assessment of shallow gas hazards based on neural networks during industrial deep-water drilling," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    3. Aizpurua, J.I. & Stewart, B.G. & McArthur, S.D.J. & Penalba, M. & Barrenetxea, M. & Muxika, E. & Ringwood, J.V., 2022. "Probabilistic forecasting informed failure prognostics framework for improved RUL prediction under uncertainty: A transformer case study," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    4. Wang, Ying & Zheng, Xueke & Wang, Le & Lu, Gavin & Jia, Yixing & Li, Kezhi & Li, Mian, 2023. "Sensor fault detection of vehicle suspension systems based on transmissibility operators and Neyman–Pearson test," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    5. Li, Yuanfu & Chen, Yao & Hu, Zhenchao & Zhang, Huisheng, 2023. "Remaining useful life prediction of aero-engine enabled by fusing knowledge and deep learning models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    6. Lewis, Austin D. & Groth, Katrina M., 2022. "Metrics for evaluating the performance of complex engineering system health monitoring models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    7. Tian, Yuan & Han, Minghao & Kulkarni, Chetan & Fink, Olga, 2022. "A prescriptive Dirichlet power allocation policy with deep reinforcement learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    8. Zou, Xinyu & Tao, Laifa & Sun, Lulu & Wang, Chao & Ma, Jian & Lu, Chen, 2023. "A case-learning-based paradigm for quantitative recommendation of fault diagnosis algorithms: A case study of gearbox," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    9. Zhang, Ruixing & An, Liqiang & He, Lun & Yang, Xinmeng & Huang, Zenghao, 2024. "Reliability analysis and inverse optimization method for floating wind turbines driven by dual meta-models combining transient-steady responses," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    10. Roy, Atin & Chakraborty, Subrata, 2023. "Support vector machine in structural reliability analysis: A review," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    11. Gjorgiev, Blazhe & Das, Laya & Merkel, Seline & Rohrer, Martina & Auger, Etienne & Sansavini, Giovanni, 2023. "Simulation-driven deep learning for locating faulty insulators in a power line," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    12. Lee, Juseong & Mitici, Mihaela, 2023. "Deep reinforcement learning for predictive aircraft maintenance using probabilistic Remaining-Useful-Life prognostics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    13. He, Yuxuan & Su, Huai & Zio, Enrico & Peng, Shiliang & Fan, Lin & Yang, Zhaoming & Yang, Zhe & Zhang, Jinjun, 2023. "A systematic method of remaining useful life estimation based on physics-informed graph neural networks with multisensor data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    14. Wang, Run-Zi & Gu, Hang-Hang & Zhu, Shun-Peng & Li, Kai-Shang & Wang, Ji & Wang, Xiao-Wei & Hideo, Miura & Zhang, Xian-Cheng & Tu, Shan-Tung, 2022. "A data-driven roadmap for creep-fatigue reliability assessment and its implementation in low-pressure turbine disk at elevated temperatures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    15. Kim, Wongon & Lee, Guesuk & Son, Hyejeong & Choi, Hyunhee & Youn, Byeng D., 2022. "Estimation of fatigue crack initiation and growth in engineering product development using a digital twin approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    16. He, Wenbin & Mao, Jianxu & Song, Kai & Li, Zhe & Su, Yulong & Wang, Yaonan & Pan, Xiangcheng, 2023. "Structural performance prediction based on the digital twin model: A battery bracket example," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    17. Pan, Yongjun & Sun, Yu & Li, Zhixiong & Gardoni, Paolo, 2023. "Machine learning approaches to estimate suspension parameters for performance degradation assessment using accurate dynamic simulations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    18. Phan, Hieu Chi & Dhar, Ashutosh Sutra & Bui, Nang Duc, 2023. "Reliability assessment of pipelines crossing strike-slip faults considering modeling uncertainties using ANN models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    19. Wang, Chu & Dou, Manfeng & Li, Zhongliang & Outbib, Rachid & Zhao, Dongdong & Zuo, Jian & Wang, Yuanlin & Liang, Bin & Wang, Peng, 2023. "Data-driven prognostics based on time-frequency analysis and symbolic recurrent neural network for fuel cells under dynamic load," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    20. Zhang, Qing & Tang, Lv & Xuan, Jianping & Shi, Tielin & Li, Rui, 2023. "An uncertainty relevance metric-based domain adaptation fault diagnosis method to overcome class relevance caused confusion," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:237:y:2023:i:c:s0951832023002521. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.