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Simulation-based optimization for modeling and mitigating tunnel-induced damages

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  • Wang, Ying
  • Zhang, Limao

Abstract

This research develops a simulation-based optimization approach that is capable of modeling and mitigating tunnel-induced damages. Two fuzzy cognitive maps (FCMs) (i.e., one with self-feedback and the other without self-feedback) are learned from historical datasets by using the real-coded genetic algorithm (RCGA) on a data-driven modeling manner. Then, the optimal variable value set is searched in the input space. Two new measures, namely “maximum response†and “average response†, are proposed to search the optimal variable value set in the input space in the FCM dynamic simulation process. A realistic tunnel case in the Wuhan metro system in China is extensively investigated to demonstrate the applicability and effectiveness of the developed approach. Results indicate that (1) The FCM with self-feedback is more stable than the FCM without self-feedback considering its higher coefficient of determination in the testing samples, where less modification of input variables realizes comparable improvement in the objective in the FCM with self-feedback. (2) The measure “maximum response†shows a larger change in the objective than the measure “average response†, where modifications in input space are similar. (3) It is revealed that the ground settlement is more sensitive to TBM operational parameters than tunnel geometry and geological conditions in the two learned FCMs. The developed approach provides insights into a better understanding of causal relationships among factors in tunnel-induced damages, enabling the planning of proactive control strategies for mitigating tunnel-induced damages.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Ying & Zhang, Limao, 2021. "Simulation-based optimization for modeling and mitigating tunnel-induced damages," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:205:y:2021:i:c:s0951832020307638
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2020.107264
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Wu, Xianguo & Liu, Huitao & Zhang, Limao & Skibniewski, Miroslaw J. & Deng, Qianli & Teng, Jiaying, 2015. "A dynamic Bayesian network based approach to safety decision support in tunnel construction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 157-168.
    2. Chen, Fangyu & Wang, Hongwei & Xu, Gangyan & Ji, Hongchang & Ding, Shanlei & Wei, Yongchang, 2020. "Data-driven safety enhancing strategies for risk networks in construction engineering," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    3. Guo, Qingjun & Amin, Shohel & Hao, Qianwen & Haas, Olivier, 2020. "Resilience assessment of safety system at subway construction sites applying analytic network process and extension cloud models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    4. Ouyang, Min & Liu, Chuang & Wu, Shengyu, 2020. "Worst-case vulnerability assessment and mitigation model of urban utility tunnels," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    5. Arends, B.J. & Jonkman, S.N. & Vrijling, J.K. & van Gelder, P.H.A.J.M, 2005. "Evaluation of tunnel safety: towards an economic safety optimum," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 90(2), pages 217-228.
    6. Wang, Fan & Li, Heng & Dong, Chao & Ding, Lieyun, 2019. "Knowledge representation using non-parametric Bayesian networks for tunneling risk analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    7. Pan, Yue & Ou, Shenwei & Zhang, Limao & Zhang, Wenjing & Wu, Xianguo & Li, Heng, 2019. "Modeling risks in dependent systems: A Copula-Bayesian approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 416-431.
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