IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v204y2020ics0951832020306967.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Global sensitivity analysis for multivariate output model and dynamic models

Author

Listed:
  • Zhang, Kaichao
  • Lu, Zhenzhou
  • Cheng, Kai
  • Wang, Laijun
  • Guo, Yanling

Abstract

Global sensitivity analysis has mainly been analyzed for scalar output and static models, though many mathematical and computational models used in engineering produce multivariate output that show some degree of correlation, and most physical systems are dynamic models. This paper focuses on global sensitivity analysis for multivariate output and dynamic models and a novel procedure is proposed to research the influence of inputs and model modes on the synthetic uncertainty of output. Introducing an additional variable to represent the variation of model modes which is viewed as model framework uncertainty, the variance decompositions of multivariate output and dynamic models are obtained and the significance of variance contributions is presented in detail. Two numerical examples and two practical models are employed to illustrate the validity and usefulness of the novel global sensitivity analysis approach.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhang, Kaichao & Lu, Zhenzhou & Cheng, Kai & Wang, Laijun & Guo, Yanling, 2020. "Global sensitivity analysis for multivariate output model and dynamic models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:204:y:2020:i:c:s0951832020306967
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2020.107195
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832020306967
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2020.107195?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sinan Xiao & Zhenzhou Lu & Pan Wang, 2018. "Multivariate Global Sensitivity Analysis Based on Distance Components Decomposition," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(12), pages 2703-2721, December.
    2. Lamboni, Matieyendou & Monod, Hervé & Makowski, David, 2011. "Multivariate sensitivity analysis to measure global contribution of input factors in dynamic models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(4), pages 450-459.
    3. Borgonovo, E., 2007. "A new uncertainty importance measure," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 92(6), pages 771-784.
    4. Wei, Pengfei & Lu, Zhenzhou & Song, Jingwen, 2015. "Variable importance analysis: A comprehensive review," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 399-432.
    5. Garcia-Cabrejo, Oscar & Valocchi, Albert, 2014. "Global Sensitivity Analysis for multivariate output using Polynomial Chaos Expansion," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 25-36.
    6. Sobol′ , I.M, 2001. "Global sensitivity indices for nonlinear mathematical models and their Monte Carlo estimates," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 55(1), pages 271-280.
    7. Campbell, Katherine & McKay, Michael D. & Williams, Brian J., 2006. "Sensitivity analysis when model outputs are functions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 91(10), pages 1468-1472.
    8. Xiao, Sinan & Lu, Zhenzhou & Wang, Pan, 2018. "Multivariate global sensitivity analysis for dynamic models based on wavelet analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 20-30.
    9. Li, Luyi & Lu, Zhenzhou & Wu, Danqing, 2016. "A new kind of sensitivity index for multivariate output," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 123-131.
    10. Ehre, Max & Papaioannou, Iason & Straub, Daniel, 2020. "Global sensitivity analysis in high dimensions with PLS-PCE," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    11. Borgonovo, Emanuele & Plischke, Elmar, 2016. "Sensitivity analysis: A review of recent advances," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 248(3), pages 869-887.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Vuillod, Bruno & Montemurro, Marco & Panettieri, Enrico & Hallo, Ludovic, 2023. "A comparison between Sobol’s indices and Shapley’s effect for global sensitivity analysis of systems with independent input variables," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    2. Torii, André Jacomel & Novotny, Antonio André, 2021. "A priori error estimates for local reliability-based sensitivity analysis with Monte Carlo Simulation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sinan Xiao & Zhenzhou Lu & Pan Wang, 2018. "Multivariate Global Sensitivity Analysis Based on Distance Components Decomposition," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(12), pages 2703-2721, December.
    2. Xiao, Sinan & Lu, Zhenzhou & Wang, Pan, 2018. "Multivariate global sensitivity analysis for dynamic models based on wavelet analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 20-30.
    3. Soha Saad & Florence Ossart & Jean Bigeon & Etienne Sourdille & Harold Gance, 2021. "Global Sensitivity Analysis Applied to Train Traffic Rescheduling: A Comparative Study," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-29, October.
    4. Xiao, Sinan & Lu, Zhenzhou & Xu, Liyang, 2017. "Multivariate sensitivity analysis based on the direction of eigen space through principal component analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 1-10.
    5. Liu, Fuchao & Wei, Pengfei & Tang, Chenghu & Wang, Pan & Yue, Zhufeng, 2019. "Global sensitivity analysis for multivariate outputs based on multiple response Gaussian process model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 287-298.
    6. Yun, Wanying & Lu, Zhenzhou & Feng, Kaixuan & Li, Luyi, 2019. "An elaborate algorithm for analyzing the Borgonovo moment-independent sensitivity by replacing the probability density function estimation with the probability estimation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 99-108.
    7. Chen, Xin & Molina-Cristóbal, Arturo & Guenov, Marin D. & Riaz, Atif, 2019. "Efficient method for variance-based sensitivity analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 97-115.
    8. Yicheng Zhou & Zhenzhou Lu & Yan Shi & Kai Cheng, 2019. "A vine copula–based method for analyzing the moment-independent importance measure of the multivariate output," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 233(3), pages 338-354, June.
    9. Daniel W. Gladish & Ross Darnell & Peter J. Thorburn & Bhakti Haldankar, 2019. "Emulated Multivariate Global Sensitivity Analysis for Complex Computer Models Applied to Agricultural Simulators," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 24(1), pages 130-153, March.
    10. Wei, Pengfei & Lu, Zhenzhou & Song, Jingwen, 2015. "Variable importance analysis: A comprehensive review," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 399-432.
    11. Xiong, Qingwen & Du, Peng & Deng, Jian & Huang, Daishun & Song, Gongle & Qian, Libo & Wu, Zenghui & Luo, Yuejian, 2022. "Global sensitivity analysis for nuclear reactor LBLOCA with time-dependent outputs," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    12. Tabandeh, Armin & Sharma, Neetesh & Gardoni, Paolo, 2022. "Uncertainty propagation in risk and resilience analysis of hierarchical systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    13. Li, Luyi & Lu, Zhenzhou & Wu, Danqing, 2016. "A new kind of sensitivity index for multivariate output," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 123-131.
    14. Xiao, Sinan & Praditia, Timothy & Oladyshkin, Sergey & Nowak, Wolfgang, 2021. "Global sensitivity analysis of a CaO/Ca(OH)2 thermochemical energy storage model for parametric effect analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
    15. Lamboni, Matieyendou, 2019. "Multivariate sensitivity analysis: Minimum variance unbiased estimators of the first-order and total-effect covariance matrices," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 67-92.
    16. Shang, Xiaobing & Su, Li & Fang, Hai & Zeng, Bowen & Zhang, Zhi, 2023. "An efficient multi-fidelity Kriging surrogate model-based method for global sensitivity analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    17. Yun, Wanying & Lu, Zhenzhou & Jiang, Xian, 2019. "An efficient method for moment-independent global sensitivity analysis by dimensional reduction technique and principle of maximum entropy," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 174-182.
    18. Ehre, Max & Papaioannou, Iason & Straub, Daniel, 2020. "Global sensitivity analysis in high dimensions with PLS-PCE," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    19. Zdeněk Kala, 2024. "Global Sensitivity Analysis of Structural Reliability Using Cliff Delta," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-18, July.
    20. Ma, Yuan-Zhuo & Jin, Xiang-Xiang & Zhao, Xiang & Li, Hong-Shuang & Zhao, Zhen-Zhou & Xu, Chang, 2024. "Reliability-oriented global sensitivity analysis using subset simulation and space partition," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:204:y:2020:i:c:s0951832020306967. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.