IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v165y2017icp222-238.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Different numerical estimators for main effect global sensitivity indices

Author

Listed:
  • Kucherenko, S.
  • Song, S.

Abstract

The variance-based method of global sensitivity indices based on Sobol' sensitivity indices became very popular among practitioners due to its easiness of interpretation. For complex practical problems computation of Sobol' indices generally requires a large number of function evaluations to achieve reasonable convergence. Four different direct formulas for computing Sobol’ main effect sensitivity indices are compared on a set of test models for which there are analytical results. Considered test functions represent various types of models that are found in practice. Formulas are based on high-dimensional integrals which are evaluated using Monte Carlo (MC) and Quasi Monte Carlo (QMC) techniques. Direct formulas are also compared with a different approach based on the so-called “double loop reordering†formula. It is found that the “double loop reordering†(DLR) approach shows a superior performance among all methods both for models with independent and dependent variables.

Suggested Citation

  • Kucherenko, S. & Song, S., 2017. "Different numerical estimators for main effect global sensitivity indices," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 222-238.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:165:y:2017:i:c:p:222-238
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2017.04.003
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832016301065
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2017.04.003?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Marrel, Amandine & Iooss, Bertrand & Laurent, Béatrice & Roustant, Olivier, 2009. "Calculations of Sobol indices for the Gaussian process metamodel," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(3), pages 742-751.
    2. Kucherenko, S. & Delpuech, B. & Iooss, B. & Tarantola, S., 2015. "Application of the control variate technique to estimation of total sensitivity indices," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 251-259.
    3. Plischke, Elmar, 2012. "An adaptive correlation ratio method using the cumulative sum of the reordered output," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 149-156.
    4. Tarantola, S. & Gatelli, D. & Mara, T.A., 2006. "Random balance designs for the estimation of first order global sensitivity indices," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 91(6), pages 717-727.
    5. Sobol’, I.M. & Tarantola, S. & Gatelli, D. & Kucherenko, S.S. & Mauntz, W., 2007. "Estimating the approximation error when fixing unessential factors in global sensitivity analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 92(7), pages 957-960.
    6. Kucherenko, Sergei & Feil, Balazs & Shah, Nilay & Mauntz, Wolfgang, 2011. "The identification of model effective dimensions using global sensitivity analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(4), pages 440-449.
    7. Plischke, Elmar, 2010. "An effective algorithm for computing global sensitivity indices (EASI)," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 95(4), pages 354-360.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Kucherenko, Sergei & Song, Shufang & Wang, Lu, 2019. "Quantile based global sensitivity measures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 35-48.
    2. Arnst, M. & Goyal, K., 2017. "Sensitivity analysis of parametric uncertainties and modeling errors in computational-mechanics models by using a generalized probabilistic modeling approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 394-405.
    3. Spiessl, Sabine M. & Kucherenko, Sergei & Becker, Dirk-A. & Zaccheus, Oluyemi, 2019. "Higher-order sensitivity analysis of a final repository model with discontinuous behaviour using the RS-HDMR meta-modeling approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 149-158.
    4. Wang, Zhenqiang & Jia, Gaofeng, 2023. "Extended sample-based approach for efficient sensitivity analysis of group of random variables," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    5. Song, Shufang & Bai, Zhiwei & Kucherenko, Sergei & Wang, Lu & Yang, Caiqiong, 2021. "Quantile sensitivity measures based on subset simulation importance sampling," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    6. Gamboa, Fabrice & Klein, Thierry & Lagnoux, Agnès & Moreno, Leonardo, 2021. "Sensitivity analysis in general metric spaces," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    7. Ökten, Giray & Liu, Yaning, 2021. "Randomized quasi-Monte Carlo methods in global sensitivity analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    8. Wu, Zeping & Wang, Wenjie & Wang, Donghui & Zhao, Kun & Zhang, Weihua, 2019. "Global sensitivity analysis using orthogonal augmented radial basis function," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 291-302.
    9. Pierryves Padey & Kyriaki Goulouti & Guy Wagner & Blaise Périsset & Sébastien Lasvaux, 2021. "Understanding the Reasons behind the Energy Performance Gap of an Energy-Efficient Building, through a Probabilistic Approach and On-Site Measurements," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-15, September.
    10. Liu, Xiaohang & Zheng, Shansuo & Wu, Xinxia & Chen, Dianxin & He, Jinchuan, 2021. "Research on a seismic connectivity reliability model of power systems based on the quasi-Monte Carlo method," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    11. Azzini, Ivano & Rosati, Rossana, 2021. "Sobol’ main effect index: an Innovative Algorithm (IA) using Dynamic Adaptive Variances," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lo Piano, Samuele & Ferretti, Federico & Puy, Arnald & Albrecht, Daniel & Saltelli, Andrea, 2021. "Variance-based sensitivity analysis: The quest for better estimators and designs between explorativity and economy," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    2. Matieyendou Lamboni, 2018. "Global sensitivity analysis: a generalized, unbiased and optimal estimator of total-effect variance," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 59(1), pages 361-386, March.
    3. Wei, Pengfei & Lu, Zhenzhou & Song, Jingwen, 2015. "Variable importance analysis: A comprehensive review," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 399-432.
    4. Borgonovo, Emanuele & Plischke, Elmar, 2016. "Sensitivity analysis: A review of recent advances," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 248(3), pages 869-887.
    5. Azzini, Ivano & Rosati, Rossana, 2021. "Sobol’ main effect index: an Innovative Algorithm (IA) using Dynamic Adaptive Variances," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    6. Heredia, María Belén & Prieur, Clémentine & Eckert, Nicolas, 2021. "Nonparametric estimation of aggregated Sobol’ indices: Application to a depth averaged snow avalanche model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    7. Kucherenko, S. & Delpuech, B. & Iooss, B. & Tarantola, S., 2015. "Application of the control variate technique to estimation of total sensitivity indices," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 251-259.
    8. Plischke, Elmar & Borgonovo, Emanuele & Smith, Curtis L., 2013. "Global sensitivity measures from given data," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 226(3), pages 536-550.
    9. Spiessl, Sabine M. & Kucherenko, Sergei & Becker, Dirk-A. & Zaccheus, Oluyemi, 2019. "Higher-order sensitivity analysis of a final repository model with discontinuous behaviour using the RS-HDMR meta-modeling approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 149-158.
    10. Konakli, Katerina & Sudret, Bruno, 2016. "Global sensitivity analysis using low-rank tensor approximations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 64-83.
    11. Plischke, Elmar, 2012. "An adaptive correlation ratio method using the cumulative sum of the reordered output," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 149-156.
    12. Mirko Ginocchi & Ferdinanda Ponci & Antonello Monti, 2021. "Sensitivity Analysis and Power Systems: Can We Bridge the Gap? A Review and a Guide to Getting Started," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-59, December.
    13. Kucherenko, Sergei & Song, Shufang & Wang, Lu, 2019. "Quantile based global sensitivity measures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 35-48.
    14. Matieyendou Lamboni, 2020. "Uncertainty quantification: a minimum variance unbiased (joint) estimator of the non-normalized Sobol’ indices," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 1939-1970, October.
    15. Zhai, Qingqing & Yang, Jun & Zhao, Yu, 2014. "Space-partition method for the variance-based sensitivity analysis: Optimal partition scheme and comparative study," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 66-82.
    16. Lambert, Romain S.C. & Lemke, Frank & Kucherenko, Sergei S. & Song, Shufang & Shah, Nilay, 2016. "Global sensitivity analysis using sparse high dimensional model representations generated by the group method of data handling," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 42-54.
    17. Deman, G. & Konakli, K. & Sudret, B. & Kerrou, J. & Perrochet, P. & Benabderrahmane, H., 2016. "Using sparse polynomial chaos expansions for the global sensitivity analysis of groundwater lifetime expectancy in a multi-layered hydrogeological model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 156-169.
    18. Chen, Xin & Molina-Cristóbal, Arturo & Guenov, Marin D. & Riaz, Atif, 2019. "Efficient method for variance-based sensitivity analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 97-115.
    19. Liu, Yaning & Yousuff Hussaini, M. & Ökten, Giray, 2016. "Accurate construction of high dimensional model representation with applications to uncertainty quantification," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 281-295.
    20. Lamboni, M. & Iooss, B. & Popelin, A.-L. & Gamboa, F., 2013. "Derivative-based global sensitivity measures: General links with Sobol’ indices and numerical tests," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 45-54.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:165:y:2017:i:c:p:222-238. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.