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Risk-based optimization of land reclamation

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  • Lendering, K.T.
  • Jonkman, S.N.
  • van Gelder, P.H.A.J.M.
  • Peters, D.J.

Abstract

Large-scale land reclamations are generally constructed by means of a landfill well above mean sea level. This can be costly in areas where good quality fill material is scarce. An alternative to save materials and costs is a ‘polder terminal’. The quay wall acts as a flood defense and the terminal level is well below the level of the quay wall. Compared with a conventional terminal, the costs are lower, but an additional flood risk is introduced. In this paper, a risk-based optimization is developed for a conventional and a polder terminal. It considers the investment and residual flood risk. The method takes into account both the quay wall and terminal level, which determine the probability and damage of flooding. The optimal quay wall level is found by solving a Lambert function numerically. The terminal level is bounded by engineering boundary conditions, i.e. piping and uplift of the cover layer of the terminal yard. It is found that, for a representative case study, the saving of reclamation costs for a polder terminal is larger than the increase of flood risk. The model is applicable to other cases of land reclamation and to similar optimization problems in flood risk management.

Suggested Citation

  • Lendering, K.T. & Jonkman, S.N. & van Gelder, P.H.A.J.M. & Peters, D.J., 2015. "Risk-based optimization of land reclamation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 193-203.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:144:y:2015:i:c:p:193-203
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2015.07.025
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alises, Ana & Molina, Rafael & Gómez, Rebeca & Pery, Pascual & Castillo, Carmen, 2014. "Overtopping hazards to port activities: Application of a new methodology to risk management (POrt Risk MAnagement Tool)," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 8-20.
    2. Jonkman, S.N. & Bockarjova, M. & Kok, M. & Bernardini, P., 2008. "Integrated hydrodynamic and economic modelling of flood damage in the Netherlands," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1), pages 77-90, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Baoquan Cheng & Jianchang Li & Jingfang Tao & Jianling Huang & Huihua Chen, 2023. "Assessing the Land Reclamation Suitability of Beam Fabrication and Storage Yard in Railway Construction: An AHP-MEA Method," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(5), pages 1-20, February.
    2. Dupuits, E.J.C. & Schweckendiek, T. & Kok, M., 2017. "Economic optimization of coastal flood defense systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 143-152.

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