IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v119y2013icp126-140.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Risk-informed optimal routing of ships considering different damage scenarios and operational conditions

Author

Listed:
  • Decò, Alberto
  • Frangopol, Dan M.

Abstract

The aim of this paper is the development of a risk-informed decision tool for the optimal mission-oriented routing of ships. The strength of the hull is investigated by modeling the midship section with finite elements and by analyzing different damage levels depending on the propagation of plastification throughout the section. Vertical and horizontal flexural interaction is investigated. Uncertainties associated with geometry and material properties are accounted for by means of the implementation of the response surface method. Load effects are evaluated using strip theory. Reliability analysis is performed for several ship operational conditions and considering four different limit states. Then, risk is assessed by including the direct losses associated with five investigated damage states. The effects of corrosion on aged ships are included in the proposed approach. Polar representation of load effects, reliability, and direct risk are presented for a large spectrum of operational conditions. Finally, the optimal routing of ships is obtained by minimizing both the estimated time of arrival and the expected direct risk, which are clearly conflicting objectives. The optimization process provides feasible solutions belonging to the Pareto front. The proposed approach is applied to a Joint High Speed Sealift.

Suggested Citation

  • Decò, Alberto & Frangopol, Dan M., 2013. "Risk-informed optimal routing of ships considering different damage scenarios and operational conditions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 126-140.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:119:y:2013:i:c:p:126-140
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2013.05.017
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832013001488
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2013.05.017?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gerald G. Brown & Glenn W. Graves & David Ronen, 1987. "Scheduling Ocean Transportation of Crude Oil," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 33(3), pages 335-346, March.
    2. K Fagerholt & G Laporte & I Norstad, 2010. "Reducing fuel emissions by optimizing speed on shipping routes," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 61(3), pages 523-529, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zou, Guang & Kolios, Athanasios, 2022. "Quantifying the value of negative inspection outcomes in fatigue maintenance planning: Cost reduction, risk mitigation and reliability growth," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    2. Zvyagina, Tatiana & Zvyagin, Petr, 2022. "A model of multi-objective route optimization for a vessel in drifting ice," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PB).
    3. Dong, You & Frangopol, Dan M. & Sabatino, Samantha, 2016. "A decision support system for mission-based ship routing considering multiple performance criteria," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 190-201.
    4. Tao, Longlong & Wu, Jie & Ge, Daochuan & Chen, Liwei & Sun, Ming, 2022. "Risk-informed based comprehensive path-planning method for radioactive materials road transportation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sun, Qinghe & Meng, Qiang & Chou, Mabel C., 2021. "Optimizing voyage charterparty (VCP) arrangement: Laytime negotiation and operations coordination," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 291(1), pages 263-270.
    2. Bin Yu & Zixuan Peng & Zhihui Tian & Baozhen Yao, 2019. "Sailing speed optimization for tramp ships with fuzzy time window," Flexible Services and Manufacturing Journal, Springer, vol. 31(2), pages 308-330, June.
    3. Ghosh, Sugoutam & Lee, Loo Hay & Ng, Szu Hui, 2015. "Bunkering decisions for a shipping liner in an uncertain environment with service contract," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 244(3), pages 792-802.
    4. Reinhardt, Line Blander & Plum, Christian E.M. & Pisinger, David & Sigurd, Mikkel M. & Vial, Guillaume T.P., 2016. "The liner shipping berth scheduling problem with transit times," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 116-128.
    5. Asghari, Mohammad & Jaber, Mohamad Y. & Mirzapour Al-e-hashem, S.M.J., 2023. "Coordinating vessel recovery actions: Analysis of disruption management in a liner shipping service," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 307(2), pages 627-644.
    6. Magirou, Evangelos F. & Psaraftis, Harilaos N. & Bouritas, Theodore, 2015. "The economic speed of an oceangoing vessel in a dynamic setting," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 48-67.
    7. Michael R. Miller & Robert J. Alexander & Vincent A. Arbige & Robert F. Dell & Steven R. Kremer & Brian P. McClune & Jane E. Oppenlander & Joshua P. Tomlin, 2017. "Optimal Allocation of Students to Naval Nuclear-Power Training Units," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 47(4), pages 320-335, August.
    8. Hennig, F. & Nygreen, B. & Christiansen, M. & Fagerholt, K. & Furman, K.C. & Song, J. & Kocis, G.R. & Warrick, P.H., 2012. "Maritime crude oil transportation – A split pickup and split delivery problem," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 218(3), pages 764-774.
    9. Wu, Lingxiao & Pan, Kai & Wang, Shuaian & Yang, Dong, 2018. "Bulk ship scheduling in industrial shipping with stochastic backhaul canvassing demand," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 117(PA), pages 117-136.
    10. Shuaian Wang & Dan Zhuge & Lu Zhen & Chung-Yee Lee, 2021. "Liner Shipping Service Planning Under Sulfur Emission Regulations," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 55(2), pages 491-509, March.
    11. Xiangang Lan & Xiaode Zuo & Qin Tao, 2023. "Container Shipping Optimization under Different Carbon Emission Policies: A Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-20, May.
    12. Ricardo Gatica & Pablo Miranda, 2011. "Special Issue on Latin-American Research: A Time Based Discretization Approach for Ship Routing and Scheduling with Variable Speed," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 11(3), pages 465-485, September.
    13. Wang, Shuaian, 2015. "Optimal sequence of container ships in a string," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 246(3), pages 850-857.
    14. Jin Li & Feng Wang & Yu He, 2020. "Electric Vehicle Routing Problem with Battery Swapping Considering Energy Consumption and Carbon Emissions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(24), pages 1-20, December.
    15. Yan, Ran & Wang, Shuaian & Du, Yuquan, 2020. "Development of a two-stage ship fuel consumption prediction and reduction model for a dry bulk ship," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    16. Fagerholt, Kjetil, 2001. "Ship scheduling with soft time windows: An optimisation based approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 131(3), pages 559-571, June.
    17. Hamed Farrokhi-Asl & Ahmad Makui & Armin Jabbarzadeh & Farnaz Barzinpour, 2020. "Solving a multi-objective sustainable waste collection problem considering a new collection network," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 20(4), pages 1977-2015, December.
    18. Hamed Hasheminia & Changmin Jiang, 2017. "Strategic trade-off between vessel delay and schedule recovery: an empirical analysis of container liner shipping," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(4), pages 458-473, May.
    19. Dekker, Rommert & Bloemhof, Jacqueline & Mallidis, Ioannis, 2012. "Operations Research for green logistics – An overview of aspects, issues, contributions and challenges," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 219(3), pages 671-679.
    20. Angel Juan & Javier Faulin & Albert Ferrer & Helena Lourenço & Barry Barrios, 2013. "MIRHA: multi-start biased randomization of heuristics with adaptive local search for solving non-smooth routing problems," TOP: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 21(1), pages 109-132, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:119:y:2013:i:c:p:126-140. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.