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Measuring the financial soundness of U.S. firms, 1926–2012

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  • Atkeson, Andrew G.
  • Eisfeldt, Andrea L.
  • Weill, Pierre-Olivier

Abstract

We measure the distribution of firms’ financial soundness over most of the last century for a broad cross section of firms. We highlight three main findings for this key aggregate state variable. First, the three worst recessions between 1926 and 2012 coincided with sharp deteriorations in the financial soundness of all firms, but other recessions did not. Second, fluctuations in total asset volatility, rather than fluctuations in leverage, appear to drive most of the variation in the distribution of firms’ financial soundness. Finally, the distribution of financial soundness for large financial firms 1962–2007 largely resembles that for large nonfinancial firms.

Suggested Citation

  • Atkeson, Andrew G. & Eisfeldt, Andrea L. & Weill, Pierre-Olivier, 2017. "Measuring the financial soundness of U.S. firms, 1926–2012," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(3), pages 613-635.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reecon:v:71:y:2017:i:3:p:613-635
    DOI: 10.1016/j.rie.2017.05.003
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    Cited by:

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    2. Colin Ellis, 2014. "Break-even maturity as a guide to financial distress," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 8(4), December.
    3. Daly, Kevin & Batten, Jonathan A. & Mishra, Anil V. & Choudhury, Tonmoy, 2019. "Contagion risk in global banking sector," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    4. Bao, Jack & Hou, Kewei & Zhang, Shaojun, 2023. "Systematic default and return predictability in the stock and bond markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(3), pages 349-377.
    5. Ampudia, Miguel & Busetto, Filippo & Fornari, Fabio, 2022. "Chronicle of a death foretold: does higher volatility anticipate corporate default?," Bank of England working papers 1001, Bank of England.
    6. Azizpour, S & Giesecke, K. & Schwenkler, G., 2018. "Exploring the sources of default clustering," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(1), pages 154-183.
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    9. Miletic, Marko & Pavic Kramaric, Tomislava & Plazibat, Boze, 2019. "What Determines Financial Soundness Of Croatian Listed Firms?," UTMS Journal of Economics, University of Tourism and Management, Skopje, Macedonia, vol. 10(2), pages 189-200.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial distress; Business cycles; Stochastic volatility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G3 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance

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