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Scenarios for the implementation of EU waste legislation at national level and their consequences for emissions from municipal waste incineration

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  • Saner, Dominik
  • Blumer, Yann B.
  • Lang, Daniel J.
  • Koehler, Annette

Abstract

Incineration plays a significant role in modern municipal solid waste (MSW) management of European countries. There are 405 treatment facilities in the European Union (EU) and another 43 plants are planned to be built in the coming years. The number of municipal solid waste incineration (MSWI) plants is not only increasing due to rising waste amounts but also as a consequence of EU waste-concerned directives issued over the last two decades. This study analyses the potential influence of diverse national implementations of EU waste policies on the future emission loads to air from MSWI in different European countries. This is exemplified by constructing waste policy implementation scenarios using an adapted formative scenario analysis approach, coupled with a probabilistic MSWI emission model employing microsimulation, which enables us to model changing incinerated waste amounts and waste compositions for each country over time. This allows us to describe possible future emission levels of MSWI in the year 2020 in 33 European countries, and in detail for Switzerland, Poland and the United Kingdom. Uncertain future emission levels are calculated and compared with the emission levels determined by the scenarios’ implications.

Suggested Citation

  • Saner, Dominik & Blumer, Yann B. & Lang, Daniel J. & Koehler, Annette, 2011. "Scenarios for the implementation of EU waste legislation at national level and their consequences for emissions from municipal waste incineration," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 67-77.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:recore:v:57:y:2011:i:c:p:67-77
    DOI: 10.1016/j.resconrec.2011.09.002
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Tietje, Olaf, 2005. "Identification of a small reliable and efficient set of consistent scenarios," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 162(2), pages 418-432, April.
    2. Spoerri, Andy & Lang, Daniel J. & Binder, Claudia R. & Scholz, Roland W., 2009. "Expert-based scenarios for strategic waste and resource management planning—C&D waste recycling in the Canton of Zurich, Switzerland," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 53(10), pages 592-600.
    3. Asan, Umut & Erhan Bozdag, Cafer & Polat, Seçkin, 2004. "A fuzzy approach to qualitative cross impact analysis," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 443-458, December.
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    1. Meylan, Grégoire & Seidl, Roman & Spoerri, Andy, 2013. "Transitions of municipal solid waste management. Part I: Scenarios of Swiss waste glass-packaging disposal," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 8-19.
    2. Meylan, Grégoire & Ami, Helen & Spoerri, Andy, 2014. "Transitions of municipal solid waste management. Part II: Hybrid life cycle assessment of Swiss glass-packaging disposal," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 16-27.

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