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The transition of corruption institutions and dynamics

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  • Paldam, Martin

Abstract

The paper analyzes the strong but complex relation between corruption and development. The corruption/honesty index is explained by three variables measuring aspects of development: Income, Polity and Fraser (for Economic Freedom). The last two indices represent the political and the economic system. Two problems arise: (i) Development is a common factor in all four variables, giving the variables strong confluence, so it is difficult to sort out the contribution of each explanatory variable. However, kernel regressions on the corruption/income scatter give a well-defined long-run transition path, which permits an identification of the specific contributions of institutions to corruption. (ii) The correlation of corruption to the first difference of the three development variables is negative. This gives a substantial lag in the corruption/income relation in the form of wide J-curves, but the main direction of causality is still from development to corruption. High income and modern institutions cause low corruption after some time. The corruption/development-relation is a fuzzy but strong long-run connection.

Suggested Citation

  • Paldam, Martin, 2021. "The transition of corruption institutions and dynamics," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:poleco:v:67:y:2021:i:c:s0176268020301002
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2020.101952
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gundlach, Erich & Paldam, Martin, 2009. "A farewell to critical junctures: Sorting out long-run causality of income and democracy," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 340-354, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Uberti, Luca J., 2022. "Corruption and growth: Historical evidence, 1790–2010," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(2), pages 321-349.
    2. Yingying Shi, 2024. "Corruption, technical efficiency and total factor productivity growth: empirical evidence from China," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(6), pages 1-24, December.
    3. Yang Li & Hu WenXiu & Su ZhenXing, 2023. "Impact of Local Official Corruption on Local Government Debt in China: The Mediating Role of Government Investment Efficiency," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(3), pages 21582440231, July.
    4. Wellner, Lukas & Dreher, Axel & Fuchs, Andreas & Parks, Bradley & Strange, Austin M., 2022. "Can aid buy foreign public support? Evidence from Chinese development finance," Kiel Working Papers 2214, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    5. Daniel Aparicio-Pérez & Maria Teresa Balaguer-Coll & Emili Tortosa-Ausina, 2023. "On the relative contributions of national and regional institutions to economic development," Working Papers 2023/01, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Corruption; Transition; Institutions; Fuzzy relations;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
    • P48 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Other Economic Systems - - - Legal Institutions; Property Rights; Natural Resources; Energy; Environment; Regional Studies

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