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On-chain analysis-based detection of abnormal transaction amount on cryptocurrency exchanges

Author

Listed:
  • Gu, Zhuoming
  • Lin, Dan
  • Wu, Jiajing

Abstract

Cryptocurrency exchanges play an indispensable role in the cryptocurrency market. However, some exchanges are suspected to be involved in various abnormal or malicious behaviors while providing services to users, such as money laundering, wash trading and even running away. Besides, these behaviors are reported to be often accompanied by an anomalous increase in the transaction amount. Therefore, it is a topic worthy of study to detect whether the abnormal transaction amount occurs in the exchange and when it occurs. This paper uses web crawler tools to collect a relatively complete dataset of exchanges and then conducts a correlation analysis to obtain the most important factors that influence the transaction amount of different exchanges. Then, the prediction model of the influence of various factors on the transaction amount is obtained based on deep learning. The deviation between the predicting transaction amount and the actual transaction amount is calculated to provide a basis for abnormal transaction amount detection. Finally, through a case study on the detection results, some abnormal transaction amounts are related to policy changes and industry events, while the others are suspected to be related to illegal behaviors.

Suggested Citation

  • Gu, Zhuoming & Lin, Dan & Wu, Jiajing, 2022. "On-chain analysis-based detection of abnormal transaction amount on cryptocurrency exchanges," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 604(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:604:y:2022:i:c:s0378437122005258
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2022.127799
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Weili Chen & Jun Wu & Zibin Zheng & Chuan Chen & Yuren Zhou, 2019. "Market Manipulation of Bitcoin: Evidence from Mining the Mt. Gox Transaction Network," Papers 1902.01941, arXiv.org.
    2. Chen, Jialan & Lin, Dan & Wu, Jiajing, 2022. "Do cryptocurrency exchanges fake trading volumes? An empirical analysis of wash trading based on data mining," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 586(C).
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    Cited by:

    1. Fatih Ecer & Tolga Murat & Hasan Dinçer & Serhat Yüksel, 2024. "A fuzzy BWM and MARCOS integrated framework with Heronian function for evaluating cryptocurrency exchanges: a case study of Türkiye," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-29, December.

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