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Persistence of economic complexity in OECD countries

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  • Sakiru, Solarin Adebola
  • Gil-Alana, Luis A.
  • Gonzalez-Blanch, Maria Jesus

Abstract

This article investigates the statistical properties of the economic complexity data in a group of 29 OECD countries, testing for their degree of persistence by looking at the order of integration of the series from a fractional integration viewpoint. The results vary substantially depending on the assumptions made on the error term; in particular, mean reversion is only found in the case of Chile if the errors are uncorrelated; however, if autocorrelation is permitted, mean reversion is found in a group of ten countries, namely, Australia, Canada, Colombia, France, Greece, Ireland, Israel, Norway, New Zealand and South Korea. Robust estimation is conducted by means of non-parametric methods and non-linear structures, which are also incorporated in the model. Policy implications are derived at the end of the article.

Suggested Citation

  • Sakiru, Solarin Adebola & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Gonzalez-Blanch, Maria Jesus, 2022. "Persistence of economic complexity in OECD countries," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 603(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:603:y:2022:i:c:s0378437122005568
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2022.127860
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic complexity; Long range dependence; Persistence; Fractional integration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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