IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v591y2022ics0378437121009183.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Metapopulation epidemic models with a universal mobility pattern on interconnected networks

Author

Listed:
  • Huang, Jinyu
  • Chen, Chao

Abstract

The global pandemic of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) exemplifies the influence of human mobility on epidemic spreading. A framework called the movement-interaction-return (MIR) model is a model to study the impact of human mobility on epidemic spreading. In this paper, we investigate epidemic spreading in interconnected metapopulation networks. Specifically, we incorporate the human mobility pattern called the radiation model into the MIR model. As a result, the proposed model is more realistic in comparison to the original MIR model. We use the tensorial framework to develop Markovian equations that describe the dynamics of the proposed model on interconnected metapopulation networks. Then we derive the corresponding epidemic thresholds by converting tensors into matrices. Comprehensive numerical simulations confirm our analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Huang, Jinyu & Chen, Chao, 2022. "Metapopulation epidemic models with a universal mobility pattern on interconnected networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 591(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:591:y:2022:i:c:s0378437121009183
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2021.126692
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437121009183
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2021.126692?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Luca Pappalardo & Filippo Simini & Salvatore Rinzivillo & Dino Pedreschi & Fosca Giannotti & Albert-László Barabási, 2015. "Returners and explorers dichotomy in human mobility," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 6(1), pages 1-8, November.
    2. Nagatani, Takashi & Ichinose, Genki & Tainaka, Kei-ichi, 2019. "Epidemic spreading of random walkers in metapopulation model on an alternating graph," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 520(C), pages 350-360.
    3. Gong, Yong-Wang & Song, Yu-Rong & Jiang, Guo-Ping, 2014. "Epidemic spreading in metapopulation networks with heterogeneous infection rates," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 416(C), pages 208-218.
    4. Marta C. González & César A. Hidalgo & Albert-László Barabási, 2009. "Understanding individual human mobility patterns," Nature, Nature, vol. 458(7235), pages 238-238, March.
    5. Huang, Jinyu & Huang, Jiaxuan, 2019. "Epidemic behaviors in weighted networks with core–periphery structure," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 528(C).
    6. Filippo Simini & Marta C. González & Amos Maritan & Albert-László Barabási, 2012. "A universal model for mobility and migration patterns," Nature, Nature, vol. 484(7392), pages 96-100, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Matteo Böhm & Mirco Nanni & Luca Pappalardo, 2022. "Gross polluters and vehicle emissions reduction," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 5(8), pages 699-707, August.
    2. Chaogui Kang & Yu Liu & Diansheng Guo & Kun Qin, 2015. "A Generalized Radiation Model for Human Mobility: Spatial Scale, Searching Direction and Trip Constraint," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(11), pages 1-11, November.
    3. Alejandro Llorente & Manuel Garcia-Herranz & Manuel Cebrian & Esteban Moro, 2015. "Social Media Fingerprints of Unemployment," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(5), pages 1-13, May.
    4. Yang, Xiong & Zhuge, Chengxiang & Shao, Chunfu & Huang, Yuantan & Hayse Chiwing G. Tang, Justin & Sun, Mingdong & Wang, Pinxi & Wang, Shiqi, 2022. "Characterizing mobility patterns of private electric vehicle users with trajectory data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 321(C).
    5. Mofeng Yang & Yixuan Pan & Aref Darzi & Sepehr Ghader & Chenfeng Xiong & Lei Zhang, 2022. "A data-driven travel mode share estimation framework based on mobile device location data," Transportation, Springer, vol. 49(5), pages 1339-1383, October.
    6. Chen, Ya & Li, Xue & Zhang, Richong & Huang, Zi-Gang & Lai, Ying-Cheng, 2020. "Instantaneous success and influence promotion in cyberspace — how do they occur?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 556(C).
    7. Daniel Austin & Robin M Cross & Tamara Hayes & Jeffrey Kaye, 2014. "Regularity and Predictability of Human Mobility in Personal Space," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(2), pages 1-8, February.
    8. Fernando Santa & Roberto Henriques & Joaquín Torres-Sospedra & Edzer Pebesma, 2019. "A Statistical Approach for Studying the Spatio-Temporal Distribution of Geolocated Tweets in Urban Environments," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-29, January.
    9. Rezapour, Shabnam & Baghaian, Atefe & Naderi, Nazanin & Sarmiento, Juan P., 2023. "Infection transmission and prevention in metropolises with heterogeneous and dynamic populations," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 304(1), pages 113-138.
    10. Andrés Leiva-Araos & Héctor Allende-Cid, 2021. "A Hierarchical Fuzzy-Based Correction Algorithm for the Neighboring Network Hit Problem," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-36, February.
    11. Huang, Zhiren & Wang, Pu & Zhang, Fan & Gao, Jianxi & Schich, Maximilian, 2018. "A mobility network approach to identify and anticipate large crowd gatherings," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 147-170.
    12. Sanja Šćepanović & Igor Mishkovski & Pan Hui & Jukka K Nurminen & Antti Ylä-Jääski, 2015. "Mobile Phone Call Data as a Regional Socio-Economic Proxy Indicator," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(4), pages 1-15, April.
    13. Beckers, Joris & Vanhoof, Maarten & Verhetsel, Ann, 2019. "Returning the particular: Understanding hierarchies in the Belgian logistics system," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 315-324.
    14. Li, Heyang & Zeng, An, 2022. "Improving recommendation by connecting user behavior in temporal and topological dimensions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 585(C).
    15. Huang, Feihu & Qiao, Shaojie & Peng, Jian & Guo, Bing & Xiong, Xi & Han, Nan, 2019. "A movement model for air passengers based on trip purpose," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 798-808.
    16. Gonzalo Suarez & Rachata Muneepeerakul, 2022. "Modeling human migration driven by changing mindset, agglomeration, social ties, and the environment," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(2), pages 1-11, February.
    17. Dong, Bing & Liu, Yapan & Fontenot, Hannah & Ouf, Mohamed & Osman, Mohamed & Chong, Adrian & Qin, Shuxu & Salim, Flora & Xue, Hao & Yan, Da & Jin, Yuan & Han, Mengjie & Zhang, Xingxing & Azar, Elie & , 2021. "Occupant behavior modeling methods for resilient building design, operation and policy at urban scale: A review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
    18. Zhang, Xiaohu, 2021. "Beyond expected regularity of aggregate urban mobility: A case study of ridesourcing service," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    19. Jungmin Kim & Juyong Park & Wonjae Lee, 2018. "Why do people move? Enhancing human mobility prediction using local functions based on public records and SNS data," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(2), pages 1-29, February.
    20. Clodomir Santana & Federico Botta & Hugo Barbosa & Filippo Privitera & Ronaldo Menezes & Riccardo Di Clemente, 2023. "COVID-19 is linked to changes in the time–space dimension of human mobility," Nature Human Behaviour, Nature, vol. 7(10), pages 1729-1739, October.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:591:y:2022:i:c:s0378437121009183. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.