IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v521y2019icp435-454.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Dynamical behaviors of a stochastic malaria model: A case study for Yunnan, China

Author

Listed:
  • Wang, Lei
  • Teng, Zhidong
  • Ji, Chunyan
  • Feng, Xiaomei
  • Wang, Kai

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate dynamical behaviors for a stochastic malaria model by introducing the effect of environmental white noise on transmission dynamics of malaria. Firstly, the distance between stochastic solutions and the disease-free equilibrium of the corresponding deterministic model is estimated in the time mean sense by constructing stochastic Lyapunov functions. Particularly, by the comparison theorem of stochastic differential equations and the law of large numbers, sufficient conditions for the extinction of the disease are obtained in the special case. Next, the existence of the unique ergodic stationary distribution is proved by constructing a suitable Lyapunov function. Finally, the model is used to simulate the human malaria data in Yunnan province and predict the trend of malaria in Yunnan.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Lei & Teng, Zhidong & Ji, Chunyan & Feng, Xiaomei & Wang, Kai, 2019. "Dynamical behaviors of a stochastic malaria model: A case study for Yunnan, China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 521(C), pages 435-454.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:521:y:2019:i:c:p:435-454
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2018.12.030
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437118315437
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2018.12.030?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Meng, Xinzhu & Li, Fei & Gao, Shujing, 2018. "Global analysis and numerical simulations of a novel stochastic eco-epidemiological model with time delay," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 339(C), pages 701-726.
    2. Liu, Qun & Jiang, Daqing & Shi, Ningzhong, 2018. "Threshold behavior in a stochastic SIQR epidemic model with standard incidence and regime switching," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 316(C), pages 310-325.
    3. Rachel Waema Mbogo & Livingstone S. Luboobi & John W. Odhiambo, 2018. "A Stochastic Model for Malaria Transmission Dynamics," Journal of Applied Mathematics, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-13, February.
    4. Bhadra, Anindya & Ionides, Edward L. & Laneri, Karina & Pascual, Mercedes & Bouma, Menno & Dhiman, Ramesh C., 2011. "Malaria in Northwest India: Data Analysis via Partially Observed Stochastic Differential Equation Models Driven by Lévy Noise," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 106(494), pages 440-451.
    5. Mao, Xuerong & Marion, Glenn & Renshaw, Eric, 2002. "Environmental Brownian noise suppresses explosions in population dynamics," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 95-110, January.
    6. Liu, Qun & Jiang, Daqing & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed, 2018. "Stationary distribution of a stochastic delayed SVEIR epidemic model with vaccination and saturation incidence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 512(C), pages 849-863.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ran, Xue & Hu, Lin & Nie, Lin-Fei & Teng, Zhidong, 2021. "Effects of stochastic perturbation and vaccinated age on a vector-borne epidemic model with saturation incidence rate," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 394(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhou, Baoquan & Jiang, Daqing & Han, Bingtao & Hayat, Tasawar, 2022. "Threshold dynamics and density function of a stochastic epidemic model with media coverage and mean-reverting Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 15-44.
    2. Zhang, Xiao-Bing & Chang, Suqin & Shi, Qihong & Huo, Hai-Feng, 2018. "Qualitative study of a stochastic SIS epidemic model with vertical transmission," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 505(C), pages 805-817.
    3. Cao, Zhongwei & Feng, Wei & Wen, Xiangdan & Zu, Li & Gao, Jinyao, 2020. "Nontrivial periodic solution of a stochastic seasonal rabies epidemic model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 545(C).
    4. Zhao, Yu & Zhang, Liping & Yuan, Sanling, 2018. "The effect of media coverage on threshold dynamics for a stochastic SIS epidemic model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 512(C), pages 248-260.
    5. Tong, Jinying & Zhang, Zhenzhong & Bao, Jianhai, 2013. "The stationary distribution of the facultative population model with a degenerate noise," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 83(2), pages 655-664.
    6. Huang, Zaitang & Cao, Junfei, 2018. "Ergodicity and bifurcations for stochastic logistic equation with non-Gaussian Lévy noise," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 330(C), pages 1-10.
    7. Liu, Qun & Jiang, Daqing & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed & Ahmad, Bashir, 2020. "A stochastic SIRS epidemic model with logistic growth and general nonlinear incidence rate," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 551(C).
    8. Shi, Zhenfeng & Zhang, Xinhong & Jiang, Daqing, 2019. "Dynamics of an avian influenza model with half-saturated incidence," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 355(C), pages 399-416.
    9. Liu, Yue & Sun, Huaping & Zhang, Jijian & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2020. "Detection of volatility regime-switching for crude oil price modeling and forecasting," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    10. Lei Fu & Hongwei Yang, 2019. "An Application of (3+1)-Dimensional Time-Space Fractional ZK Model to Analyze the Complex Dust Acoustic Waves," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-15, August.
    11. Liu, Meng & Wang, Ke, 2009. "Survival analysis of stochastic single-species population models in polluted environments," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 220(9), pages 1347-1357.
    12. Qi, Kai & Jiang, Daqing & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed, 2021. "Virus dynamic behavior of a stochastic HIV/AIDS infection model including two kinds of target cell infections and CTL immune responses," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 548-570.
    13. Piotr Szczepocki, 2020. "Application of iterated filtering to stochastic volatility models based on non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process," Statistics in Transition New Series, Polish Statistical Association, vol. 21(2), pages 173-187, June.
    14. Rehman, Attiq ul & Singh, Ram & Singh, Jagdev, 2022. "Mathematical analysis of multi-compartmental malaria transmission model with reinfection," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    15. Hu, Guixin & Li, Yanfang, 2015. "Asymptotic behaviors of stochastic periodic differential equation with Markovian switching," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 264(C), pages 403-416.
    16. Liu, Qun & Jiang, Daqing & Shi, Ningzhong & Hayat, Tasawar & Ahmad, Bashir, 2017. "Stationary distribution and extinction of a stochastic SEIR epidemic model with standard incidence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 476(C), pages 58-69.
    17. Roy, Jyotirmoy & Alam, Shariful, 2020. "Fear factor in a prey–predator system in deterministic and stochastic environment," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 541(C).
    18. Liu, Qun & Jiang, Daqing, 2020. "Threshold behavior in a stochastic SIR epidemic model with Logistic birth," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).
    19. Okita, Kouki & Tatsukawa, Yuichi & Utsumi, Shinobu & Arefin, Md. Rajib & Hossain, Md. Anowar & Tanimoto, Jun, 2023. "Stochastic resonance effect observed in a vaccination game with effectiveness framework obeying the SIR process on a scale-free network," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    20. Xie, Falan & Shan, Meijing & Lian, Xinze & Wang, Weiming, 2017. "Periodic solution of a stochastic HBV infection model with logistic hepatocyte growth," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 293(C), pages 630-641.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:521:y:2019:i:c:p:435-454. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.