IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v424y2015icp207-216.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Evidence in support of seismic hazard following Poisson distribution

Author

Listed:
  • Wang, J.P.
  • Chang, Su-Chin

Abstract

Unlike earthquake frequency that was proved following the Poisson distribution, seismic hazard (the annual rate of earthquake ground motions) is assumed to be the same type of random variables without tangible support. Instead of using total-probability algorithms currently employed, this study applied Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) to obtain the probability function of seismic hazard, and then compared it to the Poisson distribution to see if it is really close to the model prediction as assumed. On the basis of a benchmark calculation, the analysis shows a very good agreement between the two, providing some evidence for the first time that seismic hazard should follow the Poisson distribution, although the relationship has been commonly employed in earthquake studies.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, J.P. & Chang, Su-Chin, 2015. "Evidence in support of seismic hazard following Poisson distribution," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 424(C), pages 207-216.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:424:y:2015:i:c:p:207-216
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2015.01.026
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S037843711500028X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2015.01.026?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Noh, Yeelyong & Chang, Kwangpil & Seo, Yutaek & Chang, Daejun, 2014. "Risk-based determination of design pressure of LNG fuel storage tanks based on dynamic process simulation combined with Monte Carlo method," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 76-82.
    2. Cadini, F. & De Sanctis, J. & Bertoli, I. & Zio, E., 2013. "Monte Carlo simulation of radionuclide migration in fractured rock for the performance assessment of radioactive waste repositories," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 241-247.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Luigi-Ionut Catana & Vasile Preda, 2022. "A New Stochastic Order of Multivariate Distributions: Application in the Study of Reliability of Bridges Affected by Earthquakes," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-14, December.
    2. Zhang, Zhikun & Dai, Min & Wang, Xiangjun, 2023. "Statistical inference for mixed jump processes by Markov switching model with application to identify seismicity levels," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 632(P1).
    3. Y. Bulent Sonmezer & Ilker Kalkan & Selcuk Bas & S. Oguzhan Akbas, 2018. "Effects of the use of the surface spectrum of a specific region on seismic performances of R/C structures," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 93(3), pages 1203-1229, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hou, Tianfeng & Nuyens, Dirk & Roels, Staf & Janssen, Hans, 2019. "Quasi-Monte Carlo based uncertainty analysis: Sampling efficiency and error estimation in engineering applications," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    2. Agnieszka A. Tubis & Emilia T. Skupień & Stefan Jankowski & Jacek Ryczyński, 2022. "Risk Assessment of Human Factors of Logistic Handling of Deliveries at an LNG Terminal," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-24, April.
    3. Penttinen, Jussi-Pekka & Niemi, Arto & Gutleber, Johannes & Koskinen, Kari T. & Coatanéa, Eric & Laitinen, Jouko, 2019. "An open modelling approach for availability and reliability of systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 387-399.
    4. Seo, Suwon & Han, Sangheon & Lee, Sangick & Chang, Daejun, 2016. "A pump-free boosting system and its application to liquefied natural gas supply for large ships," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 70-79.
    5. Wu, Shengnan & Zhang, Laibin & Barros, Anne & Zheng, Wenpei & Liu, Yiliu, 2018. "Performance analysis for subsea blind shear ram preventers subject to testing strategies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 281-298.
    6. Alfarizi, Muhammad Gibran & Ustolin, Federico & Vatn, Jørn & Yin, Shen & Paltrinieri, Nicola, 2023. "Towards accident prevention on liquid hydrogen: A data-driven approach for releases prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    7. Medeiros, C.P. & Alencar, M.H. & de Almeida, A.T., 2017. "Multidimensional risk evaluation of natural gas pipelines based on a multicriteria decision model using visualization tools and statistical tests for global sensitivity analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 268-276.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:424:y:2015:i:c:p:207-216. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.