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Momentum, idiosyncratic volatility and market dynamics: Evidence from China

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  • Cheema, Muhammad A.
  • Nartea, Gilbert V.

Abstract

Recent evidence on the relation between momentum and idiosyncratic volatility (IV) in the U.S. is mixed. We verify the relation between momentum and IV in China and find at best, no relation, supporting the view that idiosyncratic risk is not a significant arbitrage cost for momentum returns. While the absence of a positive relation between momentum returns and IV rejects both the underreaction and the overconfidence and self-attribution stories of momentum, we find support for the overconfidence and self-attribution story from our results on market dynamics and momentum. Our results are robust when verified in other Asian markets. We also find support for the suggestion that cross-country differences in momentum returns could be the result of differences in market dynamics rather than differences in levels of individualism as suggested earlier in the literature.

Suggested Citation

  • Cheema, Muhammad A. & Nartea, Gilbert V., 2017. "Momentum, idiosyncratic volatility and market dynamics: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA), pages 109-123.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:46:y:2017:i:pa:p:109-123
    DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2017.09.001
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    4. Yin, Libo & Wei, Ya, 2020. "Aggregate profit instability and time variations in momentum returns: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    5. Muhammad A. Cheema & Gilbert V. Nartea, 2017. "Cross-Sectional and Time-Series Momentum Returns and Market Dynamics: Are Islamic Stocks Different?," Working Papers in Economics 17/14, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    6. Yang, Baochen & Ma, Yao, 2021. "Value at risk, mispricing and expected returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    7. Blitz, David & Hanauer, Matthias X. & Vidojevic, Milan, 2020. "The idiosyncratic momentum anomaly," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 932-957.
    8. Cheema, Muhammad A. & Chiah, Mardy & Man, Yimei, 2020. "Cross-sectional and time-series momentum returns: Is China different?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    9. Li, Xiao & Shen, Dehua & Zhang, Wei, 2018. "Do Chinese internet stock message boards convey firm-specific information?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 1-14.
    10. Yao, Shouyu & Wang, Chunfeng & Fang, Zhenming & Chiao, Chaoshin, 2021. "MAX is not the max under the interference of daily price limits: Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 348-369.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Momentum; Idiosyncratic volatility; Market dynamics; Arbitrage cost; Overconfidence;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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